Windy City ROC /RJCC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, April 29, 2023 at 10:00 AM

Athletico Center - Northbrook, IL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOUGLAS Rhys 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
2 AKS Ari 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
3 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 62%
3 ZHOU William 100% 99% 81% 42% 13% 2% -
5 ZHANG William 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 7%
6 TAN Ethan 100% 100% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
7 HUA Michael 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 2%
8 KIM Kendrick 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
9 HERNANDEZ Stanton 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46% 7%
10 LI Feiting 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 12%
11 WANG William 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
12 BARNES William 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
13 CHINWAH Kaden 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
14 STENCEL Andrew E. 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
15 PARK Caleb 100% 99% 92% 61% 20% 2% -
16 TAGUE Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
17 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 61% 21% 3%
18 ISSA Naoum P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
19 WAGNER Elijah 100% 99% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
20 TURNER Benjamin 100% 94% 60% 17% 2% - -
21 HENDERSON Jack 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% -
22 PARADIS Emmit 100% 50% 10% 1% - - -
23 PERRY Gwydion 100% 87% 45% 10% 1% - -
24 WANG Yifan 100% 58% 15% 2% - - -
25 CHEN Jinxin 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
26 BARROWS Hunter 100% 81% 36% 8% 1% - -
27 BECK William 100% 11% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.