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Junior Women's Épée

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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	KOZLOWSKI Maya M.	-	-	4%	22%	45%	28%
2	YAO Melinda	-	-	-	1%	11%	38%	49%
3	CHERNIS Zoe C.	-	-	4%	18%	41%	37%
3	BARG Daniella	-	-	5%	26%	46%	23%
5	CALDERA Lexi I.	-	-	-	1%	8%	36%	55%
6	POTAPENKO Margarita D.	-	-	-	4%	21%	44%	31%
7	WALLER DEL VALLE Alanis	-	2%	12%	33%	36%	15%	2%
8	STERR Isabella M.	-	1%	8%	28%	38%	21%	3%
9	EDWARDS Auprell	-	-	3%	20%	46%	31%
10	KALGAONKAR Arohi	4%	20%	35%	28%	10%	2%	-
11	SUN Renee R.	-	-	1%	11%	33%	40%	15%
12	LIANG Jingjing	1%	11%	41%	35%	11%	1%
13	YAO KATHARINE	-	3%	21%	43%	27%	5%
13	KANASKAR Ila	8%	39%	39%	13%	2%	-
15	KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita	-	2%	13%	34%	35%	14%	2%
16	BARG Margaret	-	1%	8%	27%	39%	22%	3%
17	BALAKRISHNAN Trisha	1%	5%	20%	35%	29%	9%	1%
18	HAN Rigi Yoyo	17%	42%	31%	9%	1%	-	-
19	NEMETH Katherine	-	-	6%	28%	45%	22%
20	WALLER DEL VALLE Alexandra	4%	20%	35%	29%	10%	1%
21	WALTER Anna	3%	16%	33%	32%	14%	2%
22	QIAN Irene	-	3%	21%	43%	28%	6%
23	YILMAZ Pinar	-	-	3%	16%	36%	36%	9%
24	FRANCIS Elena	9%	29%	36%	20%	5%	-
24	LISCUM Vivian	2%	11%	29%	36%	20%	3%
26	GAUR Ishi	-	2%	12%	33%	36%	15%	2%
27	BRITTON Kiera	8%	41%	36%	12%	2%	-	-
28	YOU Joyce	3%	17%	34%	31%	13%	2%	-
29	ALI Alina	13%	34%	34%	16%	3%	-
30	BEATIE Isabella M.	1%	14%	38%	33%	12%	2%	-
31	LIU CHIYUN	15%	36%	32%	14%	3%	-	-
32	PARRA Ana Sofia	41%	44%	13%	1%	-	-	-
33	MARTIN Adriana	3%	20%	41%	27%	8%	1%	-
34	YERIAN Ayda	3%	26%	45%	22%	4%	-
35	PATEL Swara	14%	53%	28%	5%	-	-
36	AZIMI Ariana	8%	29%	36%	21%	6%	1%	-
37	ZHAN Clare	69%	28%	3%	-	-	-
38	HAN Rita Yaya	64%	31%	5%	-	-	-
39	FENNO Kennedy	66%	30%	4%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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