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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	AMR HOSSNY Sara	-	-	-	-	6%	94%
2	KAPRAN Anastasia	-	1%	16%	40%	34%	9%
3	JOO Natalie	-	-	1%	6%	31%	62%
3	HARRIS Julia	-	-	4%	21%	45%	30%
5	TANG Melody Fujiao	-	1%	7%	29%	44%	20%
6	BADLANI Diya	-	2%	15%	37%	36%	10%
7	ZELDIN Nadia	-	-	4%	21%	43%	32%
8	KUMAMOTO Shino	-	-	4%	22%	44%	30%
9	WANG Amabel	-	-	1%	12%	40%	47%
10	SIROTA Francis	-	1%	13%	37%	38%	11%
10	WANG Joanna	-	-	1%	10%	38%	51%
12	ORRINGER Lottie	-	3%	20%	46%	29%	1%
13	DIMATULAC Elise Ann	-	2%	13%	36%	38%	10%
14	LIN Yunong	-	5%	23%	40%	26%	5%
15	LIU Caydence	2%	15%	37%	33%	12%	1%
16	CAI Ilana	-	4%	21%	41%	27%	6%
17	SHERLOCK Gabriella	1%	10%	28%	38%	21%	3%
18	BASILE Gianna	-	6%	24%	40%	26%	4%
19	KIM Claire	6%	25%	37%	25%	7%	-
20	JANSSEN Juliane	7%	43%	36%	11%	1%	-
21	MAJID Inaaya	-	6%	25%	40%	24%	4%
22	ZAMLYNNY Maya	-	3%	19%	46%	31%	1%
23	WANG Sunny	-	5%	33%	41%	18%	3%
24	LIU Jingyi (Eva)	1%	7%	26%	40%	23%	4%
25	HUSSIAN Annabelle	4%	18%	36%	31%	11%	1%
26	TSE Isabel	18%	40%	31%	10%	1%	-
27	PELLE Lia	30%	45%	21%	4%	-	-
28	LAZAR Carolina	14%	40%	33%	11%	2%	-
29	LI Yixin Catherine	23%	44%	27%	6%	-	-
30	WAN Celine	66%	32%	3%	-	-	-
31	FEDER Acadia	7%	27%	37%	23%	6%	-
32	NICUDEMUS Bryella	20%	59%	18%	2%	-	-
33	ZHANG Zoey	9%	32%	38%	17%	3%	-
34	LI Xiang (Shining)	11%	37%	38%	13%	1%	-
35	JIN Amie	17%	38%	31%	12%	2%	-
36	LI savannah	3%	21%	43%	27%	6%	-
37	JIN Sophie	19%	41%	30%	9%	1%	-
38	LIM Alexandra	1%	13%	40%	34%	11%	1%
39	BAULIN Zoya	39%	43%	16%	2%	-	-
40	LEE Allison	20%	44%	29%	7%	-	-
41	ORBE-AUSTIN Nia	54%	37%	8%	1%	-	-
42	SINGH ARSH	27%	47%	22%	4%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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