Junior Olympic National Championships

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, February 17, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Denver, CO - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LINDER James (Luke) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
2 STONE Ben 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
3 JOHNSON Zachary (Zack) C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 16%
3 MULLENNIX Ethan M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 24%
5 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
6 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
7 BIVINS III George A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
8 PRICE Jack S. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7%
9 KARAM Tariq A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
10 KIM Brian S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
11 ZHAO Raymond H. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
12 LEVITT Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
13 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 3%
14 LANDAU Nathaniel (Nat) B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
15 SCHMITT Trenton R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
16 KIM Shawn J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
17 OSTER Keegan J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
17 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
17 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
20 JOHNSON Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
21 LEUNG Mark 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
22 HONG Marshall Q. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 3%
23 FLORES Gerardo (Gerardito) D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
24 AURAY Phileas 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
25 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
26 BACON Elias (Eli) H. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
27 HU William 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
28 CHO Justin W. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
29 NADILE Henry V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
30 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
31 PARK Donghwan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
32 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 6% -
33 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
34 ZU Kevin 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 21% 3%
35 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
36 KANARY Logan A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 9%
36 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
38 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5% -
39 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 23% 3%
39 HINGNEKAR Aniket 100% 96% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
41 JULIEN William A 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
41 KIM Charlson 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
43 MA Jonathan D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
44 D'ORAZIO Joseph 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 16% 2%
45 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
46 MIKA Casper 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 7%
46 CHANG Brandon 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 8%
48 KANG Brandon M. 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
49 SZETO Brian 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
50 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
51 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
52 DANNULL Lukas J. 100% 99% 88% 59% 26% 6% 1%
52 WINKLER Lucas G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
54 WITEK Bernard J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
55 MERCHANT Marcel J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
56 BUENAVENTURA Christian 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
57 VACCARI Braden 100% 99% 88% 58% 25% 5% -
58 CENTANNI Salvatore (Sal) M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
59 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 100% 100% 97% 76% 35% 6%
60 YAO Jonathan 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5% -
61 LEE Kyle 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
62 TAKEMARU Leo 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 4%
63 TANG Brendan J. 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 5% -
64 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39% 4%
65 SHEPANEK Noah M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 14%
66 OSOLINIEC Victor E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
67 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 11%
68 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
69 KIM Stephen E. 100% 100% 97% 76% 30%
70 DESCHERER David 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
71 GRATHWOL-SEAR Sebastian 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
72 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
73 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
74 BOLTON Dawson E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
75 CHOU Stephen C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
75 DODRILL Grant 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
77 MILLER Levi H. 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
78 HAMMER Peter A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
79 SMITH Mitchell M. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 4%
80 CHAN Zachary D. 100% 100% 93% 62% 18%
81 KIM Benjamin H. 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
82 DEMAREST Iain 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
83 PREVEY-SULLIVAN Owen D. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 18% 3%
84 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
84 LAUDON Konrad 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
86 FLORES Peter D. 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
87 LIN Lucas H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
87 MULVANEY Alec S. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
89 BERGER Oliver 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
90 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 27%
91 SHIN Richard J.H. 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 8% -
91 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
91 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
94 LUEBBE Macklan C 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
95 DANNULL Linus N. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
96 MEHTA Sachin N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
97 POPE Nico 100% 94% 63% 25% 6% 1% -
98 SINGER Carson 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
99 YOUNG Nash 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
100 FANG David S. 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
101 LIN John A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
102 HUANG Eric 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
103 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 7%
104 ZHOU Justin 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
105 YANG Ziyi 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
106 CAPPELLUTI Ryan M. 100% 99% 89% 53% 15% 1%
107 YANG Kevin S. 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
108 IWAMOTO Eric Y. 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
109 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 3%
110 SOHN Joshua C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
111 LIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
112 LAU Jeremy Y. 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% 1%
113 RAI Avin 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
113 LIMAYE Dhruv 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 16% 2%
113 LINSKY Matthew 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
116 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
117 YAN Jack P. 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
118 TONG Qilin 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
119 WIND Nicky E. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
120 NG Jonathan H. 100% 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
121 TANG Alex Y. 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% - -
122 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 100% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
123 LEVIN Mark A. 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
124 CHAMBERS Amir E. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4%
125 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
126 MORRIS Samuel A. 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 11% 1%
127 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
128 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% 1%
129 POSSICK Owen A. 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
130 ALLUM Christopher T. 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 2% -
131 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% -
132 DROZ Camden J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 47% 11%
133 STONE Jack V. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
134 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
135 MARSEE James 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
136 WU Nicholas R. 100% 100% 94% 55% 15% 2% -
137 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
138 SMITH David C. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
139 BREIER Satchel E. 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
140 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 1%
141 PORTMANN Stein J. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
142 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
143 WISNIOWSKI Michal 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
144 JEAN Noe T. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
145 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
146 HAN Nicholas 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
147 BAILEY Asher 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
148 LAI Eric A. 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
149 COPELAND Oliver E. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
150 YATES Colum C. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
151 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
152 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
153 PAN Andrew W. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
154 PEDERSEN Leif 100% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
154 FEENEY Sean 100% 100% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
156 TRINH Trevor Z. 100% 100% 98% 79% 38% 8% 1%
157 BARNETT Peter 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
158 CHEN Alan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
159 BALDAUF Frederick (Fritz) P. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
160 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
160 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 1%
162 NI AMEN Zahir K. 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
163 BUKOWSKI Bronson 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9% 1%
164 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
165 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
166 WAID Matthew J. 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
166 LIN William 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
168 RAMAN Easwer 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
169 ZHOU Miles 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
170 VAULES Charles W. 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
171 DILLREE Spencer S. 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% -
172 LOBO-BERG Gabriel (G) K. 100% 83% 47% 15% 3% -
173 WOOD Elden S. 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1%
174 WESLER Logan A. 100% 80% 35% 6% - -
175 GILES Jeremy M. 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1%
176 SHI Andrew 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
177 OWENS William 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 7% 1%
177 LI Joshua L. 100% 99% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
179 SIMAK Jonathan V. 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
180 HANEY Vincent 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
181 DESAI Drewv D. 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
182 KIM Sean G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 19%
182 QUAN Nicholas 100% 97% 84% 56% 25% 6% 1%
184 BANNERMAN Andrew J. 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
184 CHANG Eliot A. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
186 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
187 HENNICKE Michael G. 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
188 FINLEY Samuel W. 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
189 WOLIN Zachary A. 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
190 YOUNG Brendon 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
191 KOUNALAKIS Antoneo T. 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
192 MYERS Kaleb S. 100% 95% 65% 26% 6% 1% -
193 DUDLEY LeByron 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
194 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 100% 95% 77% 45% 17% 3% -
195 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 100% 99% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
196 CHIEN Phillip L. 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
197 VASILYEV Nikita K. 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
198 TSAO Ethan 100% 95% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
199 JINICH Ilan R. 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
200 HUAYTA James W. 100% 91% 53% 17% 3% - -
201 KOKKIN Jack S. 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
202 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
203 DRESSELL Wyatt C. 100% 91% 53% 17% 3% - -
204 LIU David J. 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
205 NOBLE Daniel 100% 72% 23% 3% -
206 CHU Sean L. 100% 99% 87% 49% 11%
207 FANG David 100% 62% 16% 2% -
208 LO Joshua H. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1%
209 ASHBY Ethan J. 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% -
210 ORPILLA Apolo A. 100% 79% 29% 5% - -
211 YEN Preston 100% 85% 49% 16% 2% -
212 ODIERNO Payton W. 100% 100% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
213 GILMORE Thomas W. 100% 100% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
214 LASORSA Matthew 100% 98% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
215 TIAN Albert 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
216 HUDDY Brandon J. 100% 99% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
217 WONG Matthew 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
218 BURNS Caleb 100% 34% 4% - - - -
219 SHERR Cameron E. 100% 98% 62% 21% 4% - -
220 PARKHURST Jr Michael 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
220 BAUER Hank E. 100% 22% 2% - - - -
222 CACERES Hernan 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
223 HOFFMAN Skyler E. 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
224 FORMAN Logan 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
225 HAM Kevin P. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
225 UEYAMA Ietetsu A. 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
225 ALKIN Isaac 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
228 LEFEVRE Colin B. 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
229 GANTA Vijay 100% 92% 58% 22% 4% - -
230 DEAK Gabriel M. 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
231 HOEY-WASOW Henry 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
231 XU William 100% 76% 37% 11% 2% - -
233 MOSALAKANTI Jayanth 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
234 LEVSKY Benjamin 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
235 WYCHE Scott H. 100% 95% 73% 38% 13% 2% -
236 BROWN William (Donovin) D. 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
236 GOLDBERG Gabriel A. 100% 51% 14% 2% - - -
238 HUANG Jonathan S. 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
239 PARKER Timothy S. 100% 84% 28% 4% - - -
240 WRIGHT Athan 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
241 MURTHY mukund 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
242 GAFFNEY John M. 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
242 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
244 BUEKER Samuel P. 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
244 LIU kelly 100% 94% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
246 RUNDLETT Jakob C. 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
246 YANG Joshua Q. 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
246 JEFFERY Jakob 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
246 BARBER Brendan 100% 63% 23% 5% - - -
250 MURZYN III CJ 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
250 EPSTEIN Henry N. 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
252 MOORE Evan M. 100% 51% 10% 1% - -
252 GREEN IV James (Bud) 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
254 BROOME Aidan P. 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
254 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 82% 36% 8% 1% - -
254 VILLARREAL Mateo 100% 12% - - - - -
257 YOU Jaden 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
257 TUCKER Gabriel 100% 32% 3% - - - -
259 BULL Anderson 100% 72% 24% 4% - - -
259 CORNICHUCK Cale L. 100% 83% 14% 1% - - -
262 STUART James 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
263 LATIF Ali A. 100% 49% 12% 2% - - -
263 FORTNA Miscia 100% 24% 3% - - - -
265 PARR Bailey J. 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
265 KISTNER J. Kyle 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.