PhilDiv 2023 Nationals Qualifier: Division 2/3

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, May 7, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Temple University Pavilion - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZEFF Mati 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
2 MCGRANE-MOFFITT Nolan A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
3 DURHAM Porter 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
3 BLACK Zachary 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
5 HERTZOG Ben 100% 84% 42% 11% 1% - -
6 KORMANN Joseph 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
7 RUFE Eliot 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
8 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
9 LAPP Oliver 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
10 ANAFI Ari 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
11 KRALICEK Emmet 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 2%
12 MITCHELL Matthew D. 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
13 DUPIRE Frank 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.