Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LEE Natasha | V V V D V | V V V V V | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 2 | BEZUGLAYA Varvara | V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 3 | PECK Maia A. | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 3 | BUSH Emma | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 5 | MARTYNOVA Diana | V D V V V | V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 5 | KUKVA Taisiya | V V V V D | V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 7 | NELSON-LOVE Lily B. | V V V D | V V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 8 | MANDAP Svetlanna | V V D D D | V V D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 9 | LIN Ashley | V V V V | V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 10 | ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika | D V V V V | V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 11 | LIANG Jingjing | V V D V V | V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 12 | WANG Jessie | D D V V | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 13 | MENDOZA Zoie | D D V V D | V D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 14 | LIN Ariel | D V V D D | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 15 | HSIU Elizabeth | V V D D D | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 16 | STOMMEL-DIAZ Charly | D D D V V | V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 17 | DUONG Zoey | V V V V D | D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 18 | CHANG Celine A. | D V V V V | D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 19 | JAMES Ashley | D V V D V | D | 1.2 | 3 | +1.8 |
| 20 | HASIM Eurietta | V D V D V | D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 21 | WANG Victoria | V D D V V | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 22 | GUO Luxi | D D V D V | D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 23 | BROWN Riley | D D D V V | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 24 | OLORVIDA Isabella | D D V V D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 25 | SHARMA Sanvi | V V D D D | D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 26 | LAI Amanda | D V D D V | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 27 | DRYSDALE Lita | D V D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 28 | OBERDERFER Viktoriia | V D D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 29 | DALEY Keira | D D D V D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 30 | YOUSSEF Caroline | V D D D D | V D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 31 | ESTRADA Ariana | D D D D | V D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| 32 | SCANLAN Claire | D D D D D | V D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 33 | ZHANG Helen | D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| 34 | HANSON Addison (Connor) | D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 35 | SCHOR Elisabeth | D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.