Collegiate Cup RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, May 6, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
2 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
3 XU William 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
3 BARRETO Elliott 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
5 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 55% 12%
6 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
7 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 100% 99% 85% 44% 9%
8 TSE Aiden 100% 98% 76% 36% 9% 1%
9 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
10 BONSELL Vance 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
11 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
12 LEE Noah 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
13 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
14 STONE Esmond A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
15 KROON Lucas 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
16 YAN Kevin 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 2%
17 LO Konnor 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
18 RAJA Arnav 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 23%
19 GAO Albert 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 13%
20 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
21 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 94% 70% 31% 6% -
22 VELTZ Tyler J. 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% -
23 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
24 HWANG Jayden 100% 99% 86% 40% 8% 1%
25 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
25 KANG Evan 100% 98% 84% 46% 12% 1%
27 GAY Jono 100% 94% 55% 17% 3% -
28 LESUEUR Luke J. 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7% 1%
29 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
30 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
31 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
32 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% - -
33 BYON Adrian 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
34 DUDNICK Christian 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16% 1%
35 PATRICO Peter 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
36 BARRIOS Diego 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
37 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
38 LI Yiwei 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
39 POFF Kainoa 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
40 NIETO Titus P. 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
41 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
42 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
43 TUNG Ryan 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% 1%
44 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
45 CHAN Aidan 100% 99% 86% 48% 14% 2%
46 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
47 SOWERS Samuel 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
47 LI Yidong A. 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
49 GIANETTO Ethan K. 100% 99% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
50 WANG Weiyun 100% 99% 84% 47% 13% 1% -
51 WEINBERG Harry 100% 99% 85% 49% 14% 2% -
52 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 98% 85% 48% 14% 2%
53 RICHARDS Corey 100% 67% 22% 3% - -
54 ROSALES Vincent 100% 23% 2% - - -
55 CHEN Lohen 100% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
56 JOHNSON Kai 100% 69% 23% 4% - -
57 ZENG Vito 100% 79% 22% 2% - -
58 HERRERA Aragon 100% 97% 68% 27% 5% - -
59 BUI Joseph 100% 77% 30% 6% 1% - -
60 KIM Evan 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
61 POLEYUMPTEWA Connor 100% 64% 19% 3% - - -
62 ZHAO Zhiyu 100% 96% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
63 LI Yao (Liam) 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
64 SHAO Yue 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
65 SUNG Julian 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
66 SILVA Joaquin 100% 32% 4% - - - -
67 WANG HongXi 100% 74% 28% 5% - -
68 BYON Julian 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 5%
69 ROSS Dash S. 100% 75% 28% 5% - - -
70 CHAN Elliott 100% 29% 3% - - -
71 COPELAND Jackson 100% 40% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.