The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Collegiate Cup RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, May 7, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
2 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
3 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
3 LI Yiwei 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 16%
5 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
6 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
7 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25% 4%
8 COOK Cole 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 21%
9 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
10 BYON Adrian 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 5%
11 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
12 ZHAO Zhiyu 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
13 KANG Evan 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 2%
14 HERRERA Aragon 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
15 POFF Kainoa 100% 100% 94% 69% 26% 3%
16 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 7%
17 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
18 LI Yao (Liam) 100% 95% 67% 27% 5% < 1%
19 YAN Kevin 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
20 KROON Lucas 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
21 LEE Noah 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
22 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
23 LI Howard 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
24 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 92% 58% 18% 2% -
24 BARRIOS Diego 100% 99% 87% 53% 15% 2%
26 TSE Aiden 100% 98% 86% 52% 17% 2%
27 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
28 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
29 GAO Albert 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
30 YU Casey 100% 55% 13% 1% - -
31 PATRICO Peter 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2%
32 TUNG Ryan 100% 99% 86% 49% 13% 1%
33 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 11% 1%
34 LESUEUR Luke J. 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 9%
35 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
36 RICHARDS Corey 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
37 SOWERS Samuel 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
38 LEIGH Edward 100% 73% 28% 5% - -
39 ROSS Dash S. 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
40 SILVA Joaquin 100% 33% 4% - - - -
41 WANG HongXi 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
42 WANG Weiyun 100% 98% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
43 BUI Joseph 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
44 POLEYUMPTEWA Connor 100% 58% 17% 3% - -
45 WEINBERG Harry 100% 93% 61% 22% 3% -
46 GAY Jono 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
47 IYER Neil 100% 79% 31% 6% 1% -
48 ZENG Vito 100% 91% 55% 16% 2% -
49 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% - -
50 LI Yidong A. 100% 94% 58% 18% 3% - -
51 CHAN Elliott 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
52 SUNG Julian 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
53 COPELAND Jackson 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
54 JOHNSON Kai 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% - -
55 SINGHAL Armaan 100% 56% 14% 1% - -
56 KORCH Kamillo 100% 90% 57% 19% 2% -
57 LIU Yijin 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
58 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.