Event Preview
Fortune SYC/RJCCSaturday, May 2, 2026 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 2150 | 2200 - 2094 |
| 5 - 8 | 1940 | 2031 - 1882 |
| 9 - 16 | 1831 | 1900 - 1771 |
| 17 - 32 | 1724 | 1896 - 1624 |
| 33 - 64 | 1524 | 1763 - 1358 |
| 65 - 128 | 1196 | 1519 - 661 |
| 129 - 136 | 930 | 1583 - 277 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.