Mission SYC 2023

Y-14 Men's Foil

Friday, May 5, 2023 at 12:15 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Derek - - 1% 12% 44% 43%
2 GULCHIN Mark (Yerma) - 1% 10% 38% 39% 12%
3 MAO Lucas - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
3 TAN Aidan - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
5 PARRISH Evan - - 7% 32% 44% 17%
6 SIMONOV Timofey - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
7 CHEN Kyle P. - 1% 14% 45% 33% 6%
8 CHOI Benjamin 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
9 VADEN Oliver - - 4% 20% 38% 29% 8%
10 FENG Michael - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
11 WANG Rory - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
12 CHENG Ethan - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
13 GUO Justin - - 4% 28% 48% 20%
14 ZENG Rick - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
15 REN Ryan 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
16 WONG Jackson - - 2% 11% 32% 38% 16%
17 LI Bradley - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
18 CHENG Logan - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15%
19 LEE Eugene - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
20 DOELL Ethan - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
21 GE Daniel - 5% 33% 39% 18% 4% -
22 BAI Brian 5% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
23 CHEN Ethan - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
24 ZHAO Adam - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
25 LEE Charles T 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
26 SURESH Rohan 2% 21% 48% 24% 4% -
27 TANG Royce 2% 15% 35% 33% 14% 2%
28 LINDEMANN Marc 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2%
29 CHANG Eric Jonathan 4% 26% 49% 19% 2% -
30 GHEDINI Luca - - 3% 20% 46% 31%
31 HOU Gaven - 6% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
32 BHAN Amar 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
33 JURMAN Therin - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 6%
34 CHO Xzander 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 5%
35 WOODCOCK Henry 5% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
36 BAI Austin 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
37 MO Ethan 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
38 TOOMRE Kai - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
39 XIE Jicheng 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
40 HELMY Richard 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
41 ZHANG Lucas - 1% 12% 35% 35% 15% 2%
42 DIAZ Gabriel 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
43 KRZYWON Dylan 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
44 TANG Terry - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
45 WANG Ralph 55% 38% 7% - - -
46 CHEN kenneth 33% 49% 17% 1% - -
47 CHANG Jeremy 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
48 PLUMMER Waylon 9% 34% 37% 17% 3% -
49 KO Caleb 4% 20% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
50 XU Nathan 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
51 REYES Yannik 13% 35% 34% 14% 3% - -
51 SMITH Colin 17% 59% 21% 3% - - -
53 ABRAMKIN Tim 46% 39% 12% 2% - -
54 WANG Luke 41% 41% 15% 3% - -
55 NABASSOUA Djibril 35% 48% 15% 1% - -
56 LIEN Alexander 54% 35% 9% 1% - - -
57 LEE Thomas 19% 52% 25% 4% - -
58 CHANG Ian 74% 26% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.