Mission SYC 2023

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, May 7, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
2 OH Aster 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
3 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
3 LI AYDEN 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
5 SHAPIRO Simon 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
6 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
7 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
8 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
9 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
10 SALDARINI Glenn 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
10 SUN Andrew 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
12 WANG tiger 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
13 YU Ian 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
14 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
14 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
16 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
17 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
18 DOMINIQUE Remson 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
19 LIU Ryan 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
20 SO Morgan 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5%
21 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 14%
22 HU Andrew 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 2%
23 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
24 VALENCIA Jose 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
25 MARTINSON Torm 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
26 GERTSBERG Eli 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
27 HU Jayden 100% 99% 87% 56% 19% 2%
28 RINALDI Savio 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
29 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 8%
30 LI Huangziyue 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 2%
31 OREN Daniel 100% 99% 79% 38% 9% 1%
32 LUCAS William 100% 97% 78% 43% 12% 1%
33 LOO Jason 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
34 SONG Aidan 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
35 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 1%
36 BIVIJI Adam 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 2%
37 GRABOWSKI Alexander 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1%
38 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
39 LEE Lucas 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% -
40 GRIGORYAN Sevak 100% 99% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
41 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
42 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1%
43 BADMUS Joshua 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
44 IMANUEL Ethan 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1%
45 HALPER Benjamin 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% -
46 DOSTAL Maximilian 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
47 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
48 LIU Jayden 100% 98% 81% 46% 13% 1%
49 WAXLER Alex 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
50 TRZEPLA Max 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
51 BROOKS Drake 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
52 AVERY Marcus 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1%
53 LEE Blake 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
54 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
55 LOSQUADRO Joseph 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
56 GRABOWSKI Stanley 100% 88% 50% 16% 2% -
57 KUMAR Avinash 100% 94% 63% 23% 4% -
58 SO Dylan 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
59 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 99% 74% 32% 7% 1%
60 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
61 MALEK Zak 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
62 FOUX Jonathan 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
63 MATTOO Dhruv 100% 69% 27% 5% - -
64 CHEN Anson 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
65 MAKAROV Alexander 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
66 LEVY Daniel 100% 91% 56% 19% 3% -
67 HENDERSON Louis 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
68 DATTILIO Aidan 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
69 SUN Stephen 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
70 LEIGH Brayden 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
71 MONELL Frank 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
72 HAN Kyle 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
73 FIROOZI Alex 100% 13% 1% - - -
74 HUANG Bret 100% 33% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.