The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Mission SYC 2023

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, May 7, 2023 at 11:45 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ATTIA Jasmine - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
2 GUVEN Coco - 1% 8% 32% 43% 16%
3 CHIARELLI Valentina - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
3 LAURI Keira 1% 9% 28% 38% 22% 4%
5 YOUNG Audrey - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
6 ZENG Sarah - - 2% 14% 45% 40%
7 RANJAN Diya 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
8 MEDVINSKY Alexandra - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
9 KNOBEL Sophia - - 4% 23% 48% 24%
10 HU Anna - 2% 13% 34% 38% 14%
11 LEOU Korina - 4% 24% 43% 24% 4%
12 CHAVAN Arya - 1% 11% 34% 41% 13%
13 YOUNG Charlotte G. - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
14 LIU Yifei - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
15 KHOST Maeve 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
16 GONG Joy 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
17 BUSH Bethany - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
18 LEE Alyson - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
19 VINOKUR Anita 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
20 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
21 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. - 5% 21% 39% 29% 6%
22 CHIANG Melissa 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
23 KRASOWITZ Lucy 7% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
24 BERMAN greta - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
25 AWAD Royce 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
26 MALEK Zolie - - 4% 19% 44% 33%
27 WENG Amber 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2%
28 MAK Kaitlin 3% 29% 42% 22% 5% -
29 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
30 BORGUETA Madison 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
30 LEE Kaitlin 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% -
32 GUGALA Hanna - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
33 LOO Kaitlyn 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
34 SRINATH Lyra A. 1% 16% 39% 33% 10% 1%
35 YERENKOVA Ameliia 4% 24% 43% 25% 5% -
36 RIFKIN Lielle 44% 40% 14% 2% - -
37 KWON Ava 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
38 CHI Claire 1% 11% 35% 37% 14% 2%
39 WANG Jiayi 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
39 KIM Audrey 11% 39% 36% 12% 1% -
41 FOSS Persephone 2% 16% 42% 31% 8% 1%
42 LEE Kaelyn 35% 45% 17% 3% - -
42 CHOI Charlotte 21% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
42 MERMEGAS Olivia 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
45 GONZALEZ Veronika 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
46 KWON Ava 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
47 WANG JiaQi 1% 7% 26% 38% 22% 4%
48 MEYERSON Michelle 1% 12% 36% 36% 13% 2%
49 WONG Charlene 21% 45% 27% 6% 1% -
50 YOON Sela 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
51 CASTELO Soleil 1% 10% 33% 38% 16% 2%
52 MACKAY Katherine 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
53 GENTILE Vittoria 32% 42% 21% 5% - -
54 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
55 NIU Jessica 1% 10% 33% 40% 15% 2%
56 BIBLER Anna 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
57 MANSPERGER Gia 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% -
58 JUILLERAT Elina 17% 48% 28% 6% - -
59 REKHTMAN Alice 27% 44% 24% 6% 1% -
60 FUNG Iris 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
61 LEIGH Adalene 8% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
61 BROWN Aria 4% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1%
63 ZHU Avril 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
64 YAO Annabelle 73% 24% 3% - - -
65 KONNIKOV Esther E. 53% 39% 8% 1% - -
65 YUN Madison 47% 41% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.