2nd Annual Herb Spector Cup

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, May 6, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Birmingham Fencing Club - Birmingham, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WILLIAMS Kenneth H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
2 HEARN Christen J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
3 FAN Yuchen 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
3 MITCHELL Henry 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 3%
5 WANG Sophia 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 5% -
6 CURTIS William K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
6 BRUSH Sydney 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
8 BURT Stephen 100% 86% 45% 13% 2% - -
9 DING Tommy 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 2%
10 LIU Elinda 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
11 BROWN Hannah 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
12 BROWN Lily 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
13 LATHAM Avery 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
14 ADIBZADEH Mehrdad 100% 87% 54% 22% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.