2nd Annual Herb Spector Cup

Div II Mixed Épée

Sunday, May 7, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Birmingham Fencing Club - Birmingham, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SMITH Andrew 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
2 SUNDQUIST Matthew 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
3 RAY William 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 15%
3 SOPER Adam 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
5 CARRIE Konnor 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1%
6 ELLIOTT Wyatt 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
7 ADIBZADEH Mehrdad 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 4%
8 WILLIAMS Eli 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
9 KERTESZ Stefan G. 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 22%
10 ALLEY Everett T 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
11 MOYNIHAN Jones 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
12 ALLEY Mary Ellis 100% 65% 19% 2% < 1% -
13 CRAMER Bradley 100% 100% 97% 79% 37% 6%
14 CORDOVA Colin 100% 98% 73% 31% 7% 1%
15 PARCELEWICZ John M. 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 5%
16 FAN Yuchen 100% 99% 87% 51% 15% 2%
17 FORD Tillman 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
18 MACALUSO Matthew 100% 78% 34% 6% - -
19 KLITTEN Robert 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
20 CALINSKY Edward 100% 100% 93% 63% 21% 3%
21 RESTER Christopher 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
22 WENTWORTH Ashley 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% -
23 REEVES Ruby 100% 83% 43% 10% 1% -
24 HAAS Lindsey 100% 47% 7% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.