The Widowmaker at NKFA

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, May 13, 2023 at 11:00 AM

NKY Fencing Academy (NKFA) - Ludlow, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
2 JONES Reilly 100% 100% 99% 86% 47% 10%
3 BARTCH Ethan 100% 98% 82% 42% 9%
3 BUTLER Joel 100% 100% 94% 63% 19%
5 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 7%
6 BOTNER Olivia 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
7 KARNAVAS Bill 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
8 LEWTON Grace 100% 98% 81% 45% 12% 1%
9 MILLER Zach 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
10 YORK Joseph 100% 100% 100% 91% 60% 19%
11 BAKER Elizabeth 100% 100% 90% 56% 16%
12 CROSS Ryan 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
13 ADAMISIN Brayden 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 14%
14 MILLER Brent 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
15 TURNER Joshua 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
16 CRAFT David M. 100% 86% 45% 12% 1%
17 DELL'AIRA Isabella 100% 94% 63% 15% 1% -
18 HINGSBERGEN Ryan 100% 94% 66% 26% 4%
19 MANAUGH Calliope 100% 59% 16% 2% -
20 MILLER Hayden 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
21 GUSKA Jenn 100% 64% 18% 2% - -
22 DARNELL Connor 100% 44% 8% 1% -
23 BRETHAUER Adah 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.