PFA Spring Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, May 14, 2023 at 10:00 AM

Phoenix Fencing Academy - Tempe, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FOWLER James A. 100% 100% 95% 70% 26%
2 HANSEN Lars 100% 100% 100% 91% 51%
3 PARKER Lane S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 21%
3 MCMANUS Farran 100% 100% 98% 77% 29%
5 KRAVETZ Benjamin (Ben) D. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
6 LAURSEN Logan 100% 78% 23% 3% -
7 MUNOZ Humberto 100% 100% 97% 72% 19%
8 HILLSTROM Nathan 100% 99% 88% 43% 8%
9 HERMANDEZ Fernando 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1%
10 SAUCEDO Fernando 100% 98% 80% 30% 4%
11 SAUCEDO Grecia 100% 54% 12% 1% -
11 NICHOLS Amber 100% 99% 80% 38% 8%
13 CONWAY Collin 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
14 KING Charles M. 100% 100% 98% 80% 31%
15 HEWITT Frank F. 100% 97% 79% 39% 6%
16 BOYERS Morgan 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
17 WALLIS Wyatt 100% 82% 27% 3% -
18 TROMBLEY Matthew 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
19 PUTTAMRAJU Nikhil 100% 41% 5% - -
20 NIKOLOV Ruben 100% 41% 5% - -
21 MARIKOS Christina 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.