IFC 2023 Summer Classic

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, May 20, 2023 at 2:45 PM

Indianapolis Fencing Club - Indianapolis, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NYKAMP Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66% 13%
2 CLAYPOOL Conner 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
3 GOSMEYER Matthew E. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
3 LEYLAND John 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
5 GERACI Paul A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
6 KELBLEY Newt J. 100% 100% 97% 74% 32% 6%
7 DENMAN Matthew L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
8 BAKKE Alexander 100% 100% 94% 70% 35% 9% 1%
9 HAAS Zane 100% 68% 26% 5% - - -
10 CHRISTIAN John R. 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 8% 1%
10 KOZINSKI Allison E. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 1%
12 PRIJATEL John R. 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
13 DVORAK Ryan 100% 85% 45% 12% 2% -
14 DEMOSS Mercedes 100% 86% 43% 11% 1% - -
15 DEMOSS Sophia 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
16 BERNWANGER Phillip 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
17 ACKLEY Elijah 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% -
18 GOULD Justin 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 10% -
19 BAILEY Lauren 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% - -
20 OWENS Josiah 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.