CFFA Stab-a-thon

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, May 20, 2023 at 9:30 AM

basement of the Tileston Gym - Wilmington, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUEVARRA Gerhard V. - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
2 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3%
3 MAXWELL CJ F. - - 1% 7% 28% 45% 18%
3 IFORD Andrew W. - 1% 8% 29% 42% 21%
5 CLICK Aiden - - 4% 34% 46% 16%
6 SHAH Suhani - - 3% 18% 47% 30% 1%
7 KAUNITZ Emmanuel - - 5% 22% 43% 29%
8 GUEVARRA Isabelle C. 7% 32% 41% 17% 3% -
9 SMOLICH Marat - 4% 23% 48% 23% 2%
10 RAYLE Ava 5% 25% 41% 24% 5% -
11 CANTERO GIGNAC Alexander 11% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
12 MATHAI Rachel 5% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
13 WHITE Joshua H. - 1% 9% 34% 41% 15%
14 SPELL Kayla 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1%
15 CANADY Isaac 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
16 ODEA Ryan 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
17 KUBE Lily 17% 54% 28% 1% - -
18 MORKOS Elinor 42% 42% 14% 2% - -
19 CULLITON Colton 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.