CFFA Stab-a-thon

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, May 20, 2023 at 12:30 PM

basement of the Tileston Gym - Wilmington, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 18%
2 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 20%
3 MCRAE Bruce 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
3 SMOLICH Marat 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
5 CANADY Isaac 100% 99% 87% 53% 15% 1%
6 WHITE Joshua H. 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
7 MAXWELL CJ F. 100% 95% 72% 33% 7%
8 ENGEL Micaiah 100% 100% 93% 60% 16%
9 IFORD Andrew W. 100% 100% 94% 65% 20%
10 CANTERO GIGNAC Alexander 100% 91% 55% 15% 1%
11 GUEVARRA Isabelle C. 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 5%
12 MATHAI Rachel 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% -
13 SHAH Suhani 100% 100% 98% 77% 17%
14 RUSSELL James 100% 94% 62% 18% 2%
15 ODEA Ryan 100% 64% 20% 3% -
16 KUBE Lily 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
17 THU John 100% 92% 56% 18% 2% -
18 CULLITON Colton 100% 87% 48% 12% 1%
19 YANDLE Eli 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
20 SALKIND Edward M. 100% 80% 31% 6% - -
21 GADOW Patrick 100% 56% 12% 1% -
22 YANDLE Aiden 100% 97% 70% 28% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.