CFFA Stab-a-thon

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, May 20, 2023 at 3:30 PM

basement of the Tileston Gym - Wilmington, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 75%
2 BROWN Joshua (Josh) A. 100% 100% 96% 75% 27%
3 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert 100% 100% 97% 75% 13%
3 STEPHENS Corbin 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
5 CHEN Wesley 100% 100% 93% 65% 21%
6 MAXWELL Austin 100% 95% 66% 20% 2%
7 NANCE Jonathan W. 100% 98% 83% 45% 10%
8 RUSSELL James 100% 71% 26% 4% -
9 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 91% 54% 15% 2%
10 ODEA Ryan 100% 70% 22% 2% -
11 KINNEY Michael R. 100% 60% 18% 2% -
12 IFORD Andrew W. 100% 92% 56% 10% -
13 RUSSELL Tallis 100% 96% 73% 27% 3%
14 MCRAE Bruce 100% 84% 43% 9% 1%
15 JONES Jackson 100% 68% 19% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.