Event Results
Manhattan Fencing Center Foil Liberty CupSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SIROTA Francis | V V V V V | V V V V | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 2 | MCFARLANE Asha | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 3 | MCSHERRY Kayla | D V V V V V | V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 3 | PELLE Lia | D V V V V | V V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 5 | BAULIN Zoya | V D V V V | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 6 | LIU Caydence | V D D V V V | V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 7 | LIU Yinuo | V D V D V | V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 8 | DINAR Julia | V V D D D | V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 9 | ORBE-AUSTIN Maya | D V V V V | D | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| 10 | SINGH Evangelina | V V D D V | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 11 | BRADSHAW Tamira | V D V D D V | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 12 | MACKINTOSH Quinn | V D D V D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 13 | KENNEDY Izadora | D D V V D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 14 | PEVZNER Sophia | D V D D D | V D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 15 | KANG Annabella | D D V D D D | V D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 16 | ZELDIN Nina | D D D D D D | V D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 17 | CHANG Hyojo | V V D D D D | D | 0.5 | 2 | +1.5 |
| 18 | LENZ Phoebe | D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 19 | DOUGLAS Addison | D D D D D | D | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |