DCFC Youth Epee Challenge

Y-12 Mixed Épée

Sunday, May 21, 2023 at 12:00 PM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SUN Ethan 100% 100% 95% 68% 15%
2 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
3 WANG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 25%
3 YANG Gary 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
5 DOAN Christopher 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 15%
6 CHO Alex 100% 100% 100% 95% 57% 14%
7 CAO Carolyn 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
8 MIKHAIL Lucas 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
9 GATEWOOD Michael 100% 90% 54% 12% 1%
10 REICHEL Norah 100% 99% 86% 49% 13% 1%
11 FENG Xinmin 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
12 MCCABE Kian 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
13 MILLER Balthazar 100% 98% 78% 36% 6% -
14 YAO Ryan 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3%
15 PARY Jean Pierre 100% 72% 27% 5% - -
16 MORET Teagan 100% 61% 18% 2% -
17 YAO Aiden 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2%
18 BERGAN Bailey 100% 100% 97% 76% 33% 5%
19 LIU Addison 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% -
20 GRAYSON Anaya 100% 99% 83% 37% 6% -
21 MILLER Xavier 100% 97% 80% 44% 11% -
22 FREDERICK Thane 100% 86% 36% 4% -
23 GAUVEY Amelia 100% 20% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.