Event Results
BCAF-W - Y-10 & Y-12 and Open Mixed FoilSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander | V V V V V V V | V V V | 4.7 | 7 | +2.3 |
| 2 | SINCAVAGE Louis | V V D D V D V | V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 3 | LIAW Audrey | V V V V D V D | V D | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 3 | MARCHEI Luca | D D V V D D V | V D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 5 | LENZ Phoebe | D D D V V V V | D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 6 | CALABRIA sarah | V V V D D D D | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 7 | PROKUP Maren | D D D D V D D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 8 | LARKIN Rory | D D D D D V D | D | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |