Ref Observational Bay Cup at WBFC: XF3, XE2, XS3

Senior Mixed Foil

Monday, May 29, 2023 at 12:30 PM

West Berkeley Fencing Club - Berkeley, CA, USA

Results

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Note: Color boxes represent opponent difficulty from the fencer's perspective. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 LI Shuang D V V V D V V V V V 3.8 4 +0.2
2 LIU William V V V V V V V V V D 3.1 6 +2.9
3 TOLBERT Zoe V V V V D V V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
3 SAH Steven D V V V V V V V D 3.6 5 +1.4
5 HARRIS Otto V D V V V V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
6 QIU Zhaocheng V V V D V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
7 VAN SCOYK Aeron I. V V V V D V V D 4.6 5 +0.4
8 ADAMS Cedric V V D V V D V D 3.2 4 +0.8
9 LUI Justin V D V V V D D 2.3 4 +1.7
10 BHATT Morgane D V V D D V D 4.5 3 -1.5
10 PETERSON Lucas V V D D D V D 2.8 3 +0.2
12 ZANDER Edmund Johann D D D D V V V D 1.6 2 +0.4
13 LIANG Zixuan R. D D D V V D V D 1.5 2 +0.5
14 BHATT Jay D V D V D D V D 4.6 2 -2.6
15 CRACRAFT William J. D D D V D D V D 4.6 1 -3.6
16 HE Bourne D D D D D V V D 1.6 1 -0.6
17 WOO Noah V V D D D D D 1.4 2 +0.6
18 BECKER Ethan D V D D V D D 1.3 2 +0.7
19 RAMIREZ Jordan D D D D V D D 1.4 1 -0.4
20 KOSAI Jordyn M. D D D V D D D 1.5 1 -0.5
21 HAMEL Gillian D D D D D D D 2.4 0 -2.4

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the difficulty of an opponent from the perspective of the fencer according to table below. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Opponent's Difficulty Probability of victory
Very Hard 0% to 20%
Hard 20% to 40%
Roughly even 40% to 60%
Easy 60% to 80%
Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

This visual map of the competition helps to understand:

Ignoring differences in styles, you should be winning your bouts against easier opponents and shouldn't be upset if you lose against stronger opponents.