Raleigh SJCC & Division II North American Cup

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, June 3, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Raleigh Convention Center - Raleigh, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 20%
2 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 23%
3 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
3 TENG MATTHEW 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
5 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
6 YAO JINTAO 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
7 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
8 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
9 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
10 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
11 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
12 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
13 REN James 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
14 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
15 BROU Inkosi 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
16 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
17 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
18 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
19 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
20 HUANG Tom 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
20 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
22 ROE Finnegan 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
23 SU Landon 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
24 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
25 MORRILL Justin 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
25 YE Eric 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
27 CRAIG Samuel 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
28 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
29 VO Minh Q. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
30 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
31 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6% -
32 TIAGI Daniel 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
33 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
34 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
34 BYON Adrian 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
36 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
37 HONG Steven 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
37 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 2%
39 PAN Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 12%
40 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
41 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
42 HU Christopher 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 9%
43 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
44 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
45 REN Richard 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
46 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
47 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
48 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
49 HAN Edward 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7%
50 DEPEW Spencer 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
51 KILARI Krish 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
52 MORALES Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
53 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 3%
54 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 37%
55 HOPPA Luke H. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
56 SO Preston 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
57 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
58 HO Jacob 100% 88% 47% 12% 2% - -
58 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
60 ANAND Rohan 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
61 KATZ Ryan 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
62 COLE Alexander 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 3%
63 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
64 ALMEDA Stanislav 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
65 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
66 SAHAY Kenji 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
67 KANG evan R. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
68 RAMANAN Govind 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
69 FIRSTMAN William B. 100% 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
70 OH Triton 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 28%
70 ZEWDA Kebron 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
70 YAN Kevin 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 7% 1%
73 GAO Albert 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
73 YAO JINCHENG 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
75 STAMIS Kyle 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
76 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
77 WANG Justin 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
78 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 5%
79 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
80 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
80 LI Yiwei 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
82 YAN William 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
83 BOSITA Carson 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7% 1%
84 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 6%
85 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
86 HUANG Connor 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% 1%
87 CHON Collin 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
88 VAID Luke 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6% -
89 ANDRES Michael 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
90 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
91 CHAN Henry 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
92 BONSELL Vance 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
93 DEKA Tanush 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
94 ZHOU Aeres Z. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
95 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
96 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
97 YOUNG Nash 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
98 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
98 CHEN Jonathan 100% 99% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
100 LOPEZ Lucas M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
101 LIN Philip T. 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
102 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
103 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
104 ZHOU William 100% 93% 58% 20% 3% - -
105 POFF Kainoa 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
106 LIN Steve 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1%
107 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 99% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1%
108 ZHOU James Y. 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
109 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
110 HUNG Samuel 100% 98% 79% 40% 11% 1% -
111 WU Richard 100% 99% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
112 BYON Julian 100% 96% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
112 LIN Felix 100% 92% 61% 23% 5% - -
114 ONG Dylan 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
115 DOWNEY Baran 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
116 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
117 SMINK Oliver 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
118 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
119 TIAGI George 100% 66% 24% 5% - -
120 GILSHTEYN Jacob 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
121 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
122 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 7% 1%
123 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
124 JAIN Aniket 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
125 TSAO Alister 100% 70% 20% 3% - - -
126 SCHIMEL Luke 100% 27% 2% - - - -
127 ETIN Ari 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
128 MARGULIS Jared 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
129 TSAO Oliver 100% 92% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
130 MATTOO Surya 100% 93% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
131 XU Justin 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
132 WILKINSON James 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
133 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
134 LAUB William 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
135 REHM Liam 100% 92% 44% 10% 1% - -
136 CHABENAT Guillaume 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3% -
137 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
138 ZHU Charlie 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
139 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 99% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
140 JENSBY Jason 100% 100% 94% 65% 27% 5% -
141 MANESCU Miron 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
142 BONETTI Brayden 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
142 WANG Weiyun 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% - -
144 CHOKSI Vihaan 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% -
145 OTT Alexander 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
146 ZHENG LEON 100% 81% 44% 14% 2% - -
147 DUDNICK Christian 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
148 DECK Tyson 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
149 FREDRICK Jameer 100% 97% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
150 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 97% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
151 ANAND Rishab 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
152 TUNG Ryan 100% 97% 74% 34% 8% 1% -
153 SEETHAMRAJU Pranay 100% 58% 12% 1% - - -
154 PARCELL Colby 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
155 KIARA Kinoti 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
156 MAY Griffin M. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
156 LIGH Checed 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -
158 VELTZ Tyler J. 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% -
159 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 71% 31% 8% 1% - -
160 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
160 FERGUSON Constantine 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -
162 GUREVICH Savely 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% - -
163 CRAIN Bennett 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
164 BREUER Daniel 100% 63% 21% 3% - - -
164 FANG Eason 100% 92% 44% 10% 1% - -
166 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
166 KOTVALI Aneesh 100% 40% 8% 1% - - -
166 AHLMAN Jason 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
166 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
170 HARRINGTON Connor 100% 44% 10% 1% - - -
171 HUTTON Sawyer 100% 21% 1% - - - -
171 SZULIM Lucjan 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.