CFA Father's Day Challenge

Div II Mixed Épée

Sunday, June 18, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Cardinal Fencing Academy - Ashburn, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Andy 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 7%
2 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
3 YU Jason 100% 98% 88% 64% 32% 9% 1%
3 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
5 SIEDOW William 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
6 HULL Liam 100% 100% 99% 83% 42% 8%
7 KIM Joshua 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
8 MILLSON Daniel 100% 100% 98% 91% 68% 34% 8%
9 MARSH Alex 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
10 MEGGERS Samuel 100% 99% 83% 45% 13% 1%
11 CARNALL Hunter 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 14% 2%
12 VICKERMAN Aspen 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
13 CHENH Justin 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
14 BUI Ryan 100% 99% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
15 PALAMARCHUK Andriy 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
16 DREYER Nadia S. 100% 98% 62% 16% 2% -
17 BERNSTEIN Leo 100% 18% 1% - - -
18 MACEDON Gianna 100% 65% 17% 2% - - -
19 PILSON Rebecca 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 2% -
19 LACHER Daniel 100% 94% 69% 32% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.