EFC Summer Solstice Challenge

Senior Mixed Saber

Sunday, June 25, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Enfield Fencing Club - Enfield, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 DUMOULIN Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6% -
2 FRIEBUS Andres 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
3 BACON Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 FORMENTI Giulio 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 29% 4%
5 DIMATTEO Michael 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 13% 1% < 1%
6 MEAGHER Roderick 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 3%
7 AMES Kylan 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
8 FORD Tyler 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 4% -
9 TUCKER Ian S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 1%
10 WOTZAK Kaia 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 5% 1% -
11 MASTRONARDI Laura 100% 98% 85% 59% 30% 10% 2% -
12 BRADBURY Noah 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% - - -
13 CAREY James 100% 93% 60% 18% 2% - - -
14 LIBBY Benjamin 100% 98% 83% 43% 8% - - -
15 HAGAN Nyx 100% 91% 62% 28% 8% 1% - -
16 FOURNIER Madison 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.