National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, July 1, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
2 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
3 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
3 LIN Audrey J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
5 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
6 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7%
7 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
8 D-SALLOWS Keira 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11%
9 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 5%
10 KER Grace 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
11 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 27%
12 LU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
13 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
14 BILILIES Sophia 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33% 4%
15 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
16 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
17 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 10%
18 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4%
19 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 72% 28%
20 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 34%
21 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
22 SADIK HANA 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
23 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
24 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
25 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
26 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
27 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 6%
28 ATLURI Sara V. 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 16% 1%
29 BELTRAN REYES Alejandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
30 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6% -
31 MARYASH Samantha 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 5%
32 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3%
33 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
34 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
35 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
35 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
37 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
38 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
39 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28%
40 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
41 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
42 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
43 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
44 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
45 YANG Ashley M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
46 SOURIMTO Valeria 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33% 4%
47 SCOTT Eve 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
48 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
48 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
50 LIN Nicole 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2% -
51 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
52 CHEN Xiaohan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 31%
53 YUAN Greta 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
54 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
55 CHEN Ashley 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
56 YAO Rainie 100% 99% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
57 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
58 LIU Yifei 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% 1%
59 ZHENG Valentina 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
60 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 1%
61 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3%
61 STONE Coral 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
63 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9% 1%
64 SPRINGER Ella 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22% 3%
65 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
65 XIKES Katherine E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 6%
67 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
68 LIM Jaslene 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 10% 1%
68 WU Helen 100% 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 1%
70 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
71 MENDIOLA RITCHIE Ingrid 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
72 WEI JoyAnn 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2% -
73 LU Amy 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29% 3%
74 ZOU Yelin 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
75 YANG Lea 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13% 1%
76 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 9% -
77 XIAO julie 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
78 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
79 TONG Jessie 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
80 KHAN Alissa 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1% -
81 NGUYEN Siena 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 21% 2%
81 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% 1%
83 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
84 WEI Vivian W. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
85 CHIANG Emily 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4%
86 SINHA Anika 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 3%
87 DONG Angel 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
88 PABIAN Emilia 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
89 DHAR Layla 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
90 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
90 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
90 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
93 CARTER Keely 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
93 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
95 JOHNSTON Lily 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
96 WANG yining 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
97 FAVO Isabella 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
98 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 99% 81% 35% 7% 1% -
99 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1% -
100 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 2%
101 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
102 TAN Adelyn 100% 98% 80% 40% 10% 1% -
103 NATHANSON Sammy E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
104 HUNG Anna 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
104 XIE Nora 100% 87% 42% 10% 1% - -
106 JOHNSON Lauren 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 36% 6%
106 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
108 OBRADOVIC Ana 100% 99% 90% 54% 16% 2% -
109 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 3%
109 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
111 LI Victoria J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 27%
112 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 96% 73% 35% 10% 1% -
113 MANN Sophia J. 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
114 MULAGARI Sadhika 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 5% -
115 MUND Ruth 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 16% 2%
116 LIAO Siwen 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
117 REN Xinling 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
117 HUANG MADELINE 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% -
117 CHAN Kayla 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
117 WILSON Eva 100% 98% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
121 JIANG Mu Jia (Michelle) 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
122 XU Emily T. 100% 96% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
123 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 1%
124 TUNG Renee 100% 99% 86% 47% 13% 1% -
125 ZHAI AMY 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
126 WANG Zidan 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
127 LEE Lauren 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% - -
128 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 89% 56% 22% 4% - -
129 DAI Olivia 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
130 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 6%
131 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% - -
131 ARNOLD Hali 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
133 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
134 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 5% -
135 BAWA Anahat 100% 97% 73% 34% 9% 1% -
136 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1% -
137 CHOU Amy R. 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
138 HU Michelle 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
138 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
140 HOLMES Emma 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4% -
141 CHAN Jolene 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
142 XIONG Haojiao 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
143 ZENG Sarah 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4% -
144 GOLDIN Nina 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
145 GUVEN Coco 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
146 XA-CHIN Sara 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
147 CHIANG Melissa 100% 96% 56% 17% 3% - -
148 CHAVAN Arya 100% 97% 74% 34% 9% 1% -
149 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 95% 64% 25% 5% -
150 LO Chloe 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
151 GRAFF Sophie 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
152 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 99% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
153 YAM Danika 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
154 HITOMI Nadya 100% 98% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
155 CONNOLLY Vida 100% 81% 33% 6% - - -
156 FANG Victoria W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
157 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 98% 81% 41% 10% 1% -
158 LI Alexis 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
159 MARGULIAN Maria 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% - -
160 LEUNG Ashlyn K. 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
161 MANSPERGER Leena 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
162 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
163 OLKO Sophie 100% 38% 6% - - - -
164 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
164 KANDADAI Lara 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
166 HOLMES Sabrina 100% 84% 27% 4% - - -
167 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
167 CHO Michelle 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
169 TODD Phoebe 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1% -
169 HAN Emma 100% 28% 3% - - - -
171 DANTULURI Shivani 100% 30% 4% - - - -
172 TREACY Aisling 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
172 CHEN Elaine 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
174 COLBY Mercer 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% - -
175 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
176 SUHALIM Maree 100% 52% 9% 1% - - -
177 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
178 DILLE Carolina G. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
179 YERRAMILLI Kavya 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
179 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 96% 56% 16% 2% - -
181 MALLAMPATI Jaabili 100% 34% 5% - - - -
182 NEELEY Leilani 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
182 WANG Peijia 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
184 BUSH Bethany 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
185 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
186 ONG Lauren 100% 52% 10% 1% - - -
187 GOSAVI Aabolee 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
188 CHOW Caitlyn 100% 31% 2% - - - -
189 PATEL Karitsa 100% 31% 4% - - - -
190 SIMS Addy 100% 10% - - - - -
191 BOLTON Eleksi M. 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% - -
191 LIU Moran 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% 1% -
193 PADANILAM Lily 100% 91% 49% 13% 2% - -
193 ZHOU Ziling 100% 14% 1% - - - -
193 BANGALORE Shriya 100% 19% 1% - - - -
193 BARRERA Aurora 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
197 BAINS Nandini 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
197 LAGOON Miriam 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
199 SAAD Alia 100% 48% 9% 1% - - -
200 YAN Lena 100% 97% 54% 14% 2% - -
201 TAN Kylie 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
202 IYER Arushi 100% 73% 20% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.