National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Vet-50 Men's Épée

Monday, July 3, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 O'LOUGHLIN Chris S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93%
2 SUPONYA Sergey 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
3 TEPEDELENLIOGLU Mehmet 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
3 GAINES Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
5 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
6 HITCHCOCK David 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
7 GAUVEY Ken C. 100% 100% 95% 69% 27% 4% -
8 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
9 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 12%
10 LOEFFLER Carl E. 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 20%
11 PRIHODKO Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
12 YAO Shun 100% 100% 92% 62% 20% -
13 CLINEFELTER Dennis S. 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 25% 1%
14 BAILEY Creston P. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 5%
15 KURITZ Marc M. 100% 100% 95% 65% 22% 3%
16 SPEICHER Eric V. 100% 99% 81% 40% 8% -
17 DEPOMMIER Remi 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8%
18 STEWART Robert 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29% 1%
19 EXUM Travis H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
20 HELGE James R. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 18%
21 BARREIRO Darren 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
22 DAVIS Andrew 100% 100% 91% 60% 19% 1%
23 GERSEN Jacob 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
24 CHEN Steve 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 5% -
25 CRANOR Erich L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
26 AJAYI Phil 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
27 O'CONNOR Ryan (Ryan O'Connor) D. 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
28 KUO Michael 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
29 MAYCHROWITZ Matt 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% -
30 GILLHAM Timothy A. 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 6%
31 KRYLTSOV Greg 100% 100% 91% 55% 16% 2% -
32 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 76% 29% 5% 1% - -
33 COETZEE Frans M. 100% 99% 90% 54% 15% 1%
34 HARGROVE Charles 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
35 FERRIERE Thomas 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1%
36 SYPES Michael A. 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
36 YAKIMENKO Andrei 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
38 ELTERMAN Lev 100% 99% 88% 55% 20% 3% -
39 THOMAS Jr. Robert D. 100% 99% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1%
40 CAFASSO martin 100% 98% 73% 31% 5% -
41 JEFFCOAT Timothy 100% 49% 9% 1% - -
42 LOGUE Paul 100% 76% 23% 3% - -
43 SIMS Martin L. 100% 25% 2% - - -
44 BAXTER David 100% 64% 21% 4% - -
45 KELBLEY Jay 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
46 HAU Peter 100% 90% 38% 7% 1% - -
47 BECK Brian C. 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
48 ROGERS John D. 100% 24% 2% - - - -
49 PAPP Mike 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
50 REID Michael 100% 93% 55% 17% 3% - -
50 DUONG John 100% 58% 13% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.