National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Women's Épée

Monday, July 3, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
2 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
3 CEBULA Anne 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
3 TOBY Natalia R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
5 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
6 KHARCHYNA Polina 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
7 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
8 YIN Julia 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
9 LIN Waiyuk 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
10 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
11 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
12 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
13 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
14 SHEFFIELD Lake Mawu 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
15 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
16 CHU Audrey 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 5%
17 LIU Charlene (Kai) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
18 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
19 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 98% 85% 50% 13% 1%
20 GRADY Miriam A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
21 WASHINGTON Isis 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 31%
22 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17% 2%
23 VIVEROS Montserrat 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
24 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 5%
25 WANG Karen 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
26 GANDHI Sedna S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
27 TYLER Syd 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
28 LUO Ashley 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
29 YANG Alisa 100% 94% 68% 27% 5% -
30 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 48% 14%
31 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
32 KOWALSKY Rachel A. 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 17% 2%
33 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 11%
34 WU Fan 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% 1%
35 KUZNETSOV Victoria 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
36 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 37% 8%
37 CHEN Lefu 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
38 XIAO Ruien 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
39 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
40 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 24%
41 GU Sarah 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 6%
42 HU Grace 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
43 WANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
44 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
45 YU Nicole J. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
46 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
47 BEI Karen 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
48 AI Amy 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
49 HURLEY Kelley A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 27%
50 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
51 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
52 HAFEEZ Hania 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
53 LEE Scarlett 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
54 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
55 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
56 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
57 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
58 FENG ge 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
59 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. 100% 90% 55% 18% 2% -
60 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% 1%
61 LEE Natasha 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
62 CALDERA Lexi I. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
63 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2% -
64 LAN Alice S. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
65 PEHLIVANI Zara 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
66 LEE Michelle J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 26% 4%
67 REID Anousheh 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
68 MUELLER Emma M. 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% - -
69 WU Amelia 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% 1%
70 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
71 LIN Ashley 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
72 MAO Amy 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
73 ELSTON Sophia 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
74 BASSA Francesca A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
75 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
76 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
77 MAZUR Yeva 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
78 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6% -
79 XUAN Nicole J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
80 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
81 NING Emma 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 22% 2%
82 ZHOU Wenjun 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
83 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
84 BECKMAN Ana 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% - -
85 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
85 NGUYEN Kira 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
87 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
88 LI Fei 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
89 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
90 CANNING Charlotte 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
91 SONG Angela 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
92 LIU Nicole 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
93 DESAI Meera P. 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
94 YAO Melinda 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
95 PHUKAN Indra 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
96 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1% -
97 DAVIS Jessica L. 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
98 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
99 ISERT Sarah 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 2%
99 YOU Emily 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
101 HONG Elaine 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
102 GAO Judy 100% 88% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
103 DING Jiahe (Heidi) 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
103 QI Jarynne Valerie 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
105 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
106 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
107 KIM Zoe L. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
108 KIM Jayna 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
109 SMUK Daria A. 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
110 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
111 POTAPENKO Margarita D. 100% 95% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
112 YAMANAKA Mina 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 7%
113 SHU Youshan 100% 65% 22% 3% - -
114 KETKAR Mallika 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
115 SHELIN Chelsea 100% 83% 42% 12% 2% - -
116 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 99% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1%
116 SANTA MARIA Luisa F. 100% 87% 51% 18% 4% - -
118 ZHU Serene M. 100% 90% 61% 28% 7% 1% -
119 WONG Alexandra R. 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
120 KORKIN Alice 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
121 LI Zhenni (Jenny) 100% 84% 43% 11% 2% - -
122 BOYS Nishta B. 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 9% 1%
122 MCLANE Lauren 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
122 KENT Elizabeth J. 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
125 KALE Anika A. 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
125 GARCIA Luciana 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
127 SMITH Grace L. 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1% -
128 CHA Eugenie 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
129 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
130 LEUNG Natalie 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
131 TAN Jocelyn 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
132 LEE Olivia 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
133 BOTNER Olivia 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
134 SU Evelyn 100% 73% 30% 6% - - -
135 BUSH emma 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
136 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
137 CHANG Celine A. 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -
138 SHARMA Sanvi 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
139 ANDERSON Claire 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.