Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MATT Chris | V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 2 | LUNDBORG Mark R. | V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 3 | KOPYLOV Dmitri | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 3 | BUKOWSKI Todd | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 5 | MALNATI Donald H. | V V V V V | V V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 6 | RUNYAN Joshua | V D V V V | V V D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 7 | HECK Steven D. | D V V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 8 | CHAMBERS Thomas J. | V V V D V | V V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 9 | WRIGHT Lloyd G. | V V D V V | V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 10 | ANTHONY Jr Donald K. | D D V V V | V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 11 | KASTOR Jacaeber | V D V D V | V D | 4.3 | 3 | -1.3 |
| 12 | LEAR Donald W. | D V D V V | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 13 | HICHA Paul R. | V V D D V | V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 14 | DAHL Chris | V V D V D | V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 15 | MIGHELL Jason | V D V V D | V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 16 | BLAIR III Ray H. | V D D D D | V D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 17 | SRERE Mark A. | V V V V D | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 18 | KAOURIS George | V D V V D | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 19 | GRAFF Jon | V V D D V | D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 20 | LIN Feng | D V V D V | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 21 | CRETEN joachim | V V V D D | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 22 | PARAGANO Vincent | D D V V D | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 23 | GORMLEY Peter J. | V D D D V | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 24 | BARBOUR James (Jim) W. | D V D V D | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 25 | ZINNI Gene | D V D D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 26 | SU Ji | D D V D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 27 | PEREIRA Gabriel | D D D V D | D | 0.1 | 1 | +0.9 |
| 28 | GILLESPIE Jeremy W. | D D V D D | D | 0.3 | 1 | +0.7 |
| 29 | YAN Peter C. | D D D V D | V D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 30 | MYERS Brent M. | D D D D D | V D | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| 31 | CHOU William | D D D D D | V D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 32 | SAFAI Tejav | D D D D D | V D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| 33 | SIGNORELLI Sam F. | D D D D V | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 34 | DANIELL Steven J. | D D D D V | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 35 | MITCHELL Matthew D. | D V D D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 36 | OLSON Mark R. | D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.