The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, July 8, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AMR HOSSNY Sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93%
2 SUN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
3 YANG Iris 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96%
3 CHO Emily (Euran) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
5 HSU Kaylin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
5 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 73%
7 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
8 SHEN Emilia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
9 YANG Emma 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
10 SWANSON Alexa 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
11 HAO Danica 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
12 REN Kayley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
13 YANG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 69%
14 ZOU Ella 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
15 BROWN Lola 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
16 FENG Grace 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
17 HO Addison 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 55%
18 ZHANG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
19 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
19 WANG CAROL 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 39%
21 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
22 PARK Lina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
23 DENG Melissa 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
24 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 58%
25 MARISI Gianna 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
26 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 18%
27 DAVIS Logan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 71%
28 FENG Audrey 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 7%
29 FIELD Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
30 HARRIS Julia 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 13%
31 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
32 MUMMANENI Samyuta 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 13%
33 SHENG Katherine 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 11%
34 KRAHE Annika 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
35 POEI Lauren 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 3%
36 JOO Natalie 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 25%
37 LI Han (Helina) 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 23%
38 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
39 MIYASHIRO Katelyn 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 4%
40 DESERANNO Seren 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37% 3%
40 CAI Ilana 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 1%
40 LI Alice 100% 100% 91% 60% 20% 2% -
43 WANG Joanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
44 LUO Miranda 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 13%
44 TAO Ann 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37% 4%
44 CHERNYKH Elina 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
47 PARK Zena 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 14%
48 LIU Enjia sherry 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
49 YACOBUCCI Nadia 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 28% 4%
50 TAN Shouyin 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
51 KIM Sydney 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 3%
52 ZEE Savannah 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 7% -
53 YIN Chloe 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 4% -
54 SIROTA Francis 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66% 10%
55 TSIMIKLIS aphrodite 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 13%
56 LIM Kensie 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
57 YU Sophie 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
58 LI Joy 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16% 1%
59 CASHMAN Hailey 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29% 4%
60 WANG Emma 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% -
61 ZAHRAN Emily 100% 97% 55% 15% 2% -
62 TAN Dorathy 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26% 3%
63 KRYLTSOVA Eva 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7% -
64 EPSTEIN Naomi 100% 85% 49% 16% 2% - -
65 BING Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 12%
66 XIE Lillian 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 32%
67 CULLIVAN Sienna 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 20%
68 HUGHES Olivia 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
69 WANG DINA C. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
70 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 12%
70 LEVESQUE Brielle 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 15% -
72 ALLEYNE Taylar 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 3%
73 HUANG Sophie 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
74 EYER Brooke 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32% 2%
75 MCSHERRY Kayla 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 2%
75 DUAN Sophie 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
77 LIN Kenzie 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3% -
78 LIN Yunong 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 6% -
79 KIM Erin 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 30% 3%
80 LING Camryn 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
80 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% -
82 LIU Samantha 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
83 CHAN Mila 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8% 1%
84 PEDERSEN Haley 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3% -
85 CHOI Sophie 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
86 CAO Kayla 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13% 1%
87 ZHANG Gwenyth 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 19% 1%
88 THERON Zoe 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4% -
89 PARK Lauren 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
90 MONAT Jennifer 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
91 MA Isabelle 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 7% -
91 YONG Rosalind 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40% 5%
93 CHEN Madeleine 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
94 BLAKEY Heaven 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
95 WU Chingfei Amber 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4% -
96 RICHARDS Axelle 100% 95% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
97 HAN Gian 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
98 TULYAG Sayda 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 3% -
99 LIU Ariana 100% 99% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
100 YAO Abby 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
101 ZHOU Joi 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
102 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3% -
103 CHO Karis 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
104 IQBAL Mariam 100% 100% 94% 65% 23% 3%
105 ADLER Zoe 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
106 HUANG Natalie 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
107 SREENIVAS Ridhi 100% 89% 56% 19% 3% - -
108 KIM Claire 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2% -
109 ROBERTS Anastasia 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% -
110 FAN Sophia 100% 90% 54% 16% 1% - -
111 DE CASTRO Kai 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 3% -
112 FOX Arcadia 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 4% -
113 LUCAS Ava 100% 97% 78% 37% 6% - -
113 DINH May 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
115 ZHANG Zoey 100% 95% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
116 MATTUPALLI Ashwika 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
117 OLSHANSKY Dalia 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
117 HOM Avery 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1% -
119 DUVVA Sanika 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
120 CHAN Ella 100% 95% 70% 32% 6% - -
121 KENSICKI Phoebe 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
122 BOIKE Lucille 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
123 BULAVA Tatyana 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
124 LI Olivia 100% 100% 88% 48% 12% 1%
125 LI Savannah 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
126 PEDERSEN Clara 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
126 TELEB Farida 100% 89% 56% 19% 2% - -
128 LU Keeva 100% 93% 55% 16% 2% - -
129 BO Iris 100% 98% 80% 38% 8% 1% -
130 GE Lena Lan 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
130 WU Lorena 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25% 1%
132 MARTIN Sloan 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35% 3%
133 SALMI-BYDALEK Ada 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
134 RAFFAELE Nancy 100% 94% 70% 32% 6% - -
135 LEE Abigail 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1% -
135 CHU Felicity 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
137 ZHILKOV Anya 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
138 WASHINGTON KAILYNN ROSE 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2% -
139 DENG Claire 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 5% -
140 HUSSIAN Annabelle 100% 100% 92% 65% 26% 4% -
141 KUTATELADZE Anna 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
142 LI Jasmine 100% 97% 71% 29% 5% - -
143 CHANG Lydia 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
144 CHANG Olivia 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1% -
145 ZOLDAN Nolabelle 100% 98% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
146 TEWARI Amaira 100% 90% 58% 20% 3% - -
147 HUSSAIN Maya 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% 1% -
148 SAH Madeleine 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
149 KANG Marian 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
150 JEANBAPTISTE Lauren 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
150 LEE Zoe 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
152 MA Yifei (Olivia) 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
153 ACHESON Lilianne 100% 78% 35% 7% - - -
154 MACKINTOSH Quinn 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
155 SINGH Evangelina 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
156 KIM Natalie 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% - -
157 NAYGAS Alexandra 100% 93% 53% 16% 2% - -
158 LEO Jenna 100% 81% 33% 6% 1% - -
159 SHUSTA Lily 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
160 ZHANG Viviana 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
161 LIM Kora 100% 53% 11% 1% - - -
161 WANG Doreen 100% 91% 52% 16% 2% - -
163 WU Allison 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
164 LIN Allison 100% 98% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
165 HAN Mia 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
166 WU Elynna 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 1%
166 LIGERET Stella 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
168 AULT Aryanna 100% 99% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
169 LU Zoe 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
170 SFINTESCU Emma 100% 73% 33% 8% 1% - -
170 LEE Madeleine 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1% -
172 SOE Hayleigh 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
172 XIA Isabella 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
174 NEUMANN Erika 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
175 KIM Alison 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% - -
175 OLSON Linnea 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4% -
177 LIN Athena 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
177 DESAI Zoya 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% - -
179 KEHOE Audrey 100% 85% 45% 11% 1% - -
180 SAMALA Reese 100% 99% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
181 RIVERA Leahy 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1% -
182 SEAL Ayda 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
182 HOROWITZ Shuli 100% 99% 87% 58% 22% 3% -
182 ZHANG Elizabeth 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
185 BAULIN Zoya 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
186 CHIN Riley 100% 30% 4% - - - -
186 HOM Emma 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
186 FRASER Morgan 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1% -
189 TAI Taphanie 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
190 LI Emma Jing 100% 45% 8% 1% - - -
190 MCLANAHAN Jasmine 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
192 CLEMMER-BECHT Elise 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% - -
193 KNAPP Isabella 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
193 BLANKS Campbell 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
193 BEHL Alessandra 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
196 BORDIER Siloe 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
197 CHEN Elysia 100% 9% - - - -
198 YU Sien 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
199 ROUSH Rowynn 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
199 WU Emma 100% 33% 4% - - - -
199 ETIKALA Saanvi 100% 37% 6% - - - -
202 LIU Joanna 100% 32% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.