Nutmeg State Games

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, July 15, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Candlewood Fencing Newtown - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
2 AHMAD Uzayr 100% 93% 66% 27% 4%
3 HELMY Richard 100% 99% 75% 31% 5%
3 BAI Austin 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
5 HUDSON Sophie 100% 97% 77% 35% 4%
6 MANCHALA Vedanth 100% 99% 82% 37% 6%
7 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 89% 48% 7% -
8 PRINZ-STRATEMAN Matilda 100% 99% 86% 48% 10%
9 DING Charlie 100% 100% 99% 84% 32%
10 BENTLEY Amelia 100% 79% 36% 7% -
11 KINSMAN Manuel 100% 98% 77% 32% 3%
12 HUANG Kimball 100% 72% 24% 2% -
13 KINSMAN Douglas 100% 100% 82% 36% 6%
14 CHIN Harper 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
14 SALERNO A.J. 100% 76% 33% 7% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.