Nutmeg State Games

Senior Men's Saber

Saturday, July 15, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Candlewood Fencing Newtown - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 52%
2 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 98% 81% 35%
3 DEVITO Brad 100% 100% 99% 87% 40%
3 DUMOULIN Gabriel 100% 99% 88% 51% 8%
5 RIDKY Sam 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 22%
6 DIMATTEO Michael 100% 100% 94% 62% 17%
7 LOTH Connor 100% 71% 23% 3% -
8 COFFIN Carleton 100% 99% 90% 50% 11%
9 KAOURIS George 100% 100% 99% 84% 33%
10 MEAGHER Roderick 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
11 ZHOU Grant 100% 100% 97% 77% 28% 3%
12 LIBBY Benjamin 100% 86% 33% 5% -
13 SWIFT Owen 100% 91% 53% 10% 1%
14 RAMIREZ Nicholas 100% 95% 66% 19% 2% -
15 TSAO Alister 100% 82% 38% 6% -
15 SCHIMEL Luke 100% 53% 11% 1% -
17 SAGASTIZADO Joshua 100% 78% 29% 4% - -
18 FRISBEE John 100% 87% 43% 8% -
19 HAUSLER Jayden 100% 33% 4% - -
20 ABBENSETTS Joshua 100% 95% 55% 12% -
21 MAPES Tanner 100% 56% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.