The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

August Banana

Senior Mixed Foil

Tuesday, August 1, 2023 at 6:15 PM

Hopkins, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEZ Nolan - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
2 TAN Xinlai - 1% 11% 34% 39% 14%
3 SANDERS Jack 1% 17% 47% 29% 6% -
3 MCKINLEY Luke 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
5 MARTIN William - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
6 WAKEHAM Timothy - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
7 WAKEHAM Paul - 3% 19% 38% 31% 9%
8 HOWLAND Jonas - 1% 11% 31% 39% 18%
9 GLOVER George - 1% 6% 20% 36% 30% 8%
10 VELAZQUEZ Rosa 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
11 BERSCHEID Arthur - 1% 7% 24% 39% 24% 4%
12 GIEBLER Lucas - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
13 SHELTON Olivia 9% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
14 LOCKWOOD Jacob 1% 11% 34% 36% 16% 2%
15 KANG Marian 5% 21% 35% 28% 11% 2%
16 MADSEN Lindsey 10% 35% 40% 13% 2% - -
17 HUANG Kai 3% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
18 CUNEO Luca - 1% 9% 25% 37% 24% 4%
19 SHAO Zhenghao 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
20 IBARRA Alejandro 9% 40% 36% 13% 2% -
21 BULLARD Sydney 16% 43% 32% 8% 1% -
22 SMITH Henry 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
23 HILL Elliott 59% 34% 6% - - -
24 BOMGARDNER Ben 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
25 LAHR Nathan 1% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
26 LAHR Jonathan 1% 13% 35% 35% 15% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.