Trick or Retreat RYC / RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, August 19, 2023 at 2:00 PM

New Jersey Convention and Exposition Center - Edison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 38% 5%
2 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
3 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
3 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
5 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
6 NOOL Alexander 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
7 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 94% 72% 32% 7% -
8 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
9 WANG Marcus 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2% -
10 WHITE Jackson 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
11 KINCADE Renny 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
12 HAN Keyi 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
13 YU David 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
14 WATTANAKIT Tawin 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
15 WU Matthew 100% 98% 83% 53% 20% 3%
16 CHEN Tianjun 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
17 YAO Aiden 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2%
18 YAO Ryan 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
19 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 16%
20 FRIZZELL Kai 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
21 TANG Milo 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
22 FENG Xinmin 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 4% -
23 HONG Ethen 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
24 CHIANG William 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
25 YU George 100% 66% 24% 5% - -
26 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
27 TSIEN Richard 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% - -
28 ZHANG Shuhao 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
29 NG Nico 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
30 SHAPIRO Samuel 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
31 LAI Jayden 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3% -
32 NOOL Aaron 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
33 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 43% 12%
34 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5%
35 JIN Derek 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
36 ZHA-ZHAO Max 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
37 MUELLER Travis 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
38 SHI Evan 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% -
39 SHARMA Suryansh 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.