Trick or Retreat RYC / RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, August 20, 2023 at 8:15 AM

New Jersey Convention and Exposition Center - Edison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
2 LIANG Claire 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 9%
3 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
3 HILD Anya 100% 98% 80% 41% 9%
5 KWON Ava 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
6 REN Katherine 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
7 XU Elaine 100% 93% 62% 23% 3%
8 CHI Alicia 100% 74% 30% 6% - -
9 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 97% 79% 39% 7%
10 LEE Kaitlin 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
11 LEE Grace 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
12 WANG MONA 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
13 ZHANG Audrey 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
14 MAK Jayden 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
15 LIU Chelsea 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
16 DEMRY Kylee 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
17 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 72% 29% 5% -
18 BUTZ Victoria 100% 84% 41% 9% -
19 PIENKOWSKI Olivia 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
20 YOUNG Sienna 100% 98% 81% 44% 10%
21 GOLEN Grace 100% 95% 72% 31% 5%
22 WANG Chloe 100% 59% 18% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.