Trick or Retreat RYC / RJCC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, August 20, 2023 at 2:00 PM

New Jersey Convention and Exposition Center - Edison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KAPRAN Anastasia 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
2 DONG Angela 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 23%
3 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
3 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1%
5 LIU Jingyi (Eva) 100% 97% 77% 37% 9% 1%
6 YU Jane 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
7 WANG Sabrina 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
8 WANG Joanna 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
9 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
10 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
11 FENG Audrey 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
12 MCSHERRY Kayla 100% 100% 97% 78% 36% 6%
13 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 11%
14 CHEN Sophie 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
15 EYER Brooke 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2%
16 ELNAGGAR lily 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
17 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
18 RUI Jessie 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% - -
19 DONG Iris 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
20 YIN Chloe 100% 99% 91% 52% 15% 2%
21 CAI Ilana 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
22 LIU Yino 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
23 SONG Erin 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
24 PEDERSEN Clara 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1%
24 HUANG Sophie 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
26 SHIN Elizabeth 100% 83% 40% 10% 1% -
27 BULAVA Tatyana 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
28 BEKIYANTS Elizabeth 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
29 KIM Claire 100% 87% 44% 11% 1% -
30 JIANG Chloe 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3%
31 JI Dora YuanDao 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
32 EPSTEIN Naomi 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
33 CAO Eva 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 9% 1%
34 WAN Celine 100% 69% 15% 1% - -
35 CAO Celine 100% 98% 77% 36% 8% 1%
36 ZHANG Zoey 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
37 ROSS Stella 100% 55% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.