The Big Blue Annual 3 Weapon & Youth Tournament

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, August 27, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Forge Fencing Academy & Club - Durham, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SMOLICH Marat 100% 100% 96% 74% 31% 5%
2 CAFFAREY Luke 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
3 MAXWELL CJ F. 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
3 BLONDEL Leo O. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
5 DAVIS Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
6 ROTHMAN Matthew 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
7 KAPLAN Abe 100% 99% 88% 53% 15% 1%
8 KAUNITZ Emmanuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 30%
9 YAN James 100% 99% 88% 50% 14% 2% -
10 MOREY Zachary D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
11 TAMIR Esu 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
12 ROTHMAN Rebecca 100% 100% 95% 80% 51% 20% 4%
13 FIDDLER Liam 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
14 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
15 MENECHELLA Matthew 100% 62% 16% 2% - -
16 VERGARA Jaden Reese 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
17 LEAKE Arlo 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
18 GREENE Max 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
19 PETERS Ezra 100% 76% 29% 5% - -
20 ZHANG Vicky 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.