Cascade Clash SYC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Friday, August 25, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	SUN Chloe	-	-	-	-	3%	26%	71%
2	ZHANG Soleil C.	-	-	-	1%	9%	36%	54%
3	LUO Miranda	-	2%	11%	30%	39%	18%
3	YAN Noelle	-	-	-	6%	35%	58%
5	HU Jenna	-	-	1%	13%	47%	39%
6	ZHANG Ivy	-	-	1%	5%	22%	43%	30%
7	DESAI Esha	-	1%	8%	26%	38%	23%	4%
8	PENG Charlotte	-	-	2%	17%	49%	31%
9	BROWN Lola	-	-	1%	10%	37%	51%
10	BAE Yooju	-	1%	7%	33%	47%	13%
11	MIYASHIRO Katelyn	-	-	4%	18%	38%	31%	8%
12	CHUN Adelle Ha-Eune	-	1%	6%	23%	37%	26%	7%
13	POEI Lauren	1%	9%	27%	36%	22%	5%
14	DUAN Sophie	-	1%	7%	23%	37%	27%	6%
15	LI Alice	-	5%	24%	45%	23%	3%
16	AL-BATTAINEH Eva	1%	6%	22%	35%	27%	9%	1%
17	YAO Abby	2%	14%	30%	31%	17%	5%	-
18	WU Elynna	5%	22%	36%	27%	9%	1%	-
19	HAN Gian	-	3%	16%	35%	34%	12%
20	WU Nicole Moxuan	-	5%	20%	38%	30%	6%
21	TAO Ann	-	3%	14%	31%	34%	16%	2%
22	KIM Chloe	-	-	1%	9%	33%	47%	9%
23	SAH Madeleine	17%	38%	31%	11%	2%	-	-
24	NIRGUDE Esha	1%	11%	30%	37%	18%	3%	-
25	HAN Mia	3%	16%	32%	30%	15%	3%	-
26	LIU Ashley	25%	45%	25%	5%	-	-
27	LIN Allison	4%	24%	41%	26%	5%	-
28	LI Joy	1%	8%	24%	33%	24%	8%	1%
29	ZHANG Gwenyth	2%	11%	28%	35%	20%	5%	-
30	KRYLTSOVA Eva	4%	19%	36%	30%	11%	1%
31	LIU Samantha	11%	32%	35%	18%	4%	-	-
32	HOM Avery	11%	33%	35%	16%	4%	-	-
33	CHAN Mila	-	4%	19%	37%	30%	8%	-
34	SHIN Jaelynn	6%	29%	40%	21%	3%	-
35	TAN Shouyin	5%	24%	38%	25%	7%	1%	-
36	YUEN Chloe	-	-	3%	14%	31%	35%	16%
37	YU Sophie	13%	36%	34%	14%	3%	-
38	LEE Abigail	17%	39%	31%	11%	2%	-
39	CHAN Ella	17%	39%	31%	11%	2%	-
40	KUTSY Olga	5%	23%	37%	26%	8%	1%	-
41	LIGERET Stella	3%	19%	37%	30%	9%	1%
42	NEUMANN Erika	22%	45%	28%	6%	-	-
43	SOE Hayleigh	6%	27%	41%	23%	4%	-
44	ZEE Savannah	3%	16%	35%	33%	12%	1%
45	AL-BATTAINEH Hana	21%	41%	28%	9%	1%	-	-
46	CHO Karis	21%	38%	28%	11%	2%	-	-
47	REES Ava	10%	36%	40%	13%	1%	-
48	CHOI Lydia	37%	43%	17%	3%	-	-
49	LING Camryn	13%	37%	34%	14%	2%	-	-
50	ZHOU Joi	19%	39%	29%	10%	2%	-
51	HOROWITZ Shuli	16%	37%	32%	13%	3%	-	-
52	GOHIL Sameeha	2%	13%	32%	33%	16%	3%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

Want to keep up with all things fencingtracker? Join our Discord community here.