Event Preview
Fortune ROC/RJCC/RYCSaturday, September 5, 2026 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3526 | 4092 - 3180 |
| 5 - 8 | 2988 | 3058 - 2902 |
| 9 - 16 | 2848 | 3121 - 2739 |
| 17 - 32 | 2521 | 2748 - 2320 |
| 33 - 64 | 2183 | 2624 - 2008 |
| 65 - 117 | 1774 | 2500 - 1158 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.