The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Cascade Clash SYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Monday, August 28, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SINGLETON Aman - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
2 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
3 MEHROTRA Neel - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
3 ZHOU Shawn - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
5 YANG Gary - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
6 SHI Jian-An 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
7 LEUNG Dylan 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
8 LIU Zicheng 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
9 VAN JAARSVELD Leo 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 1%
10 DENG haoyu - 3% 16% 37% 35% 10%
11 TANG Zheng - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
12 DING Max 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
13 ROBERTS Arthur 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
14 LEWIS Michael 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
15 XUE Michael 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
16 WANG Devin 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
17 DU Evan 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 6%
18 JAO Aaron 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
19 YAO Tristan - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
20 LEE Daniel 2% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1%
20 WU Nathan 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 6%
22 MYRAH Devin 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
23 MOU Jaydon 12% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
24 WANG Suian (Andy) 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
25 LU Ian 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
26 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
27 LEE Joshua 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
28 MA Nolan 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
29 SHI Zhicheng 10% 31% 36% 19% 5% -
30 WANG Jiacheng 2% 17% 38% 32% 11% 1%
31 MA kevin 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
32 REILLY August 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
33 WONG Alexander 1% 10% 27% 36% 22% 5%
34 CHEN Christopher 53% 37% 9% 1% - -
35 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 5% 29% 39% 22% 5% -
36 WANG Juehan 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.