Boston Fencing Club RJCC

Cadet Women's Épée

Sunday, September 3, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	SPRINGER Sierra	-	-	-	3%	24%	73%
2	QI Jarynne Valerie	-	-	2%	13%	40%	45%
3	HAFEEZ Hania	-	-	-	-	5%	32%	63%
3	ZHAN Nancy	-	-	1%	9%	37%	44%	9%
5	WANG Zoe	-	2%	14%	37%	37%	10%
6	LI Fei	-	2%	14%	35%	37%	12%
7	MUELLER Emma M.	-	-	1%	5%	22%	43%	30%
8	AI Amy	-	-	3%	15%	41%	41%
9	AZMEH nour	-	-	5%	25%	44%	26%
10	MONOVA Lilyana	2%	12%	29%	33%	18%	5%	-
11	SMUK Alexandra S.	-	1%	5%	22%	42%	30%
12	ZHANG Michelle	-	1%	9%	26%	35%	22%	5%
13	SEREGIN Katya	1%	14%	37%	34%	12%	1%
14	DEPOMMIER Isabelle	-	2%	15%	36%	37%	10%
15	SUN Zeyu	-	-	4%	22%	45%	26%	3%
16	KANE Chloe	12%	32%	34%	17%	5%	1%	-
17	MISHIMA Audrey	3%	18%	39%	31%	9%	1%
18	HAFEEZ Hiba	-	2%	15%	39%	34%	10%
19	HOAGLAND Sally	1%	11%	37%	37%	12%	1%	-
20	SHU Youshan	-	3%	18%	37%	32%	10%
21	DOUGLAS Marketa F.	-	3%	18%	41%	33%	4%
22	KAUR Manroop	6%	31%	40%	19%	4%	-
23	ZHENG Linden	-	4%	16%	33%	32%	14%	2%
24	WANG Sophie Y.	1%	12%	38%	37%	11%	1%	-
25	RICHARDSON Meredith	2%	14%	34%	35%	14%	2%
26	CHI Sarah	54%	36%	9%	1%	-	-
27	LI Olivia	4%	21%	37%	28%	9%	1%
28	PAN Angela	5%	24%	39%	25%	6%	-
29	MA Sophie	13%	37%	35%	13%	2%	-
30	GIELEGHEM Klaire	11%	32%	35%	18%	4%	-
31	CHEN Alicia	16%	42%	32%	9%	1%	-
32	LI Suri	1%	9%	29%	39%	19%	3%
33	PARSONS Leada	2%	14%	36%	34%	12%	1%
34	BI Michelle	16%	42%	32%	9%	1%	-
35	BO GENESIS	24%	43%	26%	6%	1%	-
36	WONG HIN SANG Annabelle	9%	32%	38%	18%	3%	-
37	MILLER Cassandra	18%	47%	28%	6%	-	-	-
38	ZOU You yang (Yoyo)	2%	14%	31%	32%	17%	4%	-
39	XU Hua	11%	35%	37%	15%	2%	-
40	TCHERNYSHOV ANNA	8%	32%	40%	18%	2%	-
41	PHUONG Elaine	43%	41%	14%	2%	-	-
42	TRAN Katherine	6%	31%	40%	20%	4%	-
43	SUMMERER Jordan	48%	41%	10%	1%	-	-	-
44	XIE Camille	8%	32%	39%	18%	3%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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