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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	BUHAY Kirsten M.	-	-	5%	20%	37%	30%	9%
2	NGUYEN Siena	-	-	5%	23%	44%	28%
3	CHAN Jolene	-	6%	22%	37%	28%	7%
3	HUANG MADELINE	-	2%	11%	31%	38%	18%
5	YAM Danika	-	-	3%	14%	34%	36%	14%
6	GALYEMSKA Viktoriya	3%	20%	43%	28%	6%	-
7	DANG Kelia	-	-	5%	23%	43%	28%
8	GAUTAM Sahana	-	1%	9%	32%	42%	17%
9	HU Michelle	-	5%	19%	35%	31%	10%
10	HUAI Delilah	-	-	-	3%	16%	42%	39%
11	WANG Zidan	-	1%	5%	21%	38%	29%	6%
12	STONE Coral	-	4%	20%	38%	30%	8%
12	SCHMIDT Isabel	-	4%	20%	38%	30%	9%
14	XIONG Haojiao	-	1%	9%	29%	40%	21%
15	YAO Rainie	-	-	3%	17%	35%	33%	11%
16	DUDNICK Morgan	7%	26%	36%	23%	7%	1%
17	GOMES Diana C.	3%	18%	35%	30%	12%	2%
18	SCHOEW Margot	1%	9%	27%	37%	21%	5%	-
19	LEE Lauren	-	7%	28%	39%	22%	4%
20	LO Chloe	1%	10%	29%	36%	20%	4%
20	TONG Jessie	-	2%	10%	29%	39%	20%
22	GOLOVITSER Maya	1%	9%	26%	36%	23%	5%
23	CHIN Elise	-	1%	9%	27%	40%	22%
24	ZHANG Victoria	-	8%	28%	38%	22%	4%
25	MILLER Sascha	1%	10%	30%	36%	20%	4%
26	HITOMI Nadya	-	1%	6%	22%	38%	27%	6%
27	ZHAN Sophie	1%	11%	30%	36%	19%	4%
28	JEFFORDS Sophia	8%	38%	37%	14%	2%	-
29	MUNGUIA Mila	3%	29%	41%	22%	5%	-
30	DIECK Miranda P.	3%	17%	34%	31%	13%	2%
31	LIU Hannah	11%	34%	35%	16%	3%	-	-
32	ZOLLER Noelle	3%	25%	40%	25%	7%	1%
33	SAWANT Asmi	30%	42%	22%	5%	1%	-
34	GOURNEAU Sophie L.	6%	28%	39%	21%	5%	1%	-
35	SHEARER Alena	6%	24%	36%	25%	8%	1%
36	TUNG Renee	1%	9%	28%	36%	21%	4%
37	FENG Alicia G.	-	8%	30%	38%	20%	3%
38	WHITESIDES Abigail E.	-	3%	14%	32%	33%	15%	3%
39	HAN Emma	11%	35%	35%	15%	3%	-	-
40	MANN Sophia J.	-	5%	22%	40%	27%	6%
41	WANG Jiayi	12%	33%	34%	17%	4%	-
42	GARZON Vilma	6%	24%	36%	25%	8%	1%
43	TURIANO Nadelle	8%	30%	37%	20%	5%	1%	-
44	VANKIRK Avery	19%	40%	30%	10%	2%	-	-
45	GOSAVI Aabolee	19%	41%	29%	9%	1%	-
46	KIM Alice	80%	19%	2%	-	-	-
47	CAI Veronica	11%	35%	35%	16%	3%	-
47	LIN Abbey	57%	35%	7%	1%	-	-
49	KIM Alexia	68%	28%	4%	-	-	-
50	HETTIWATTE Yehansa	31%	43%	21%	4%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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