The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

North Texas Roundup SYC / RCC

Cadet Women's Foil

Saturday, September 2, 2023 at 2:30 PM

Arlington ESports Stadium - Arlington, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DAVIS Logan - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
2 PARK Lina - - 1% 9% 41% 48%
3 WANG CAROL 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 5%
3 AADHI Hansika - 7% 30% 39% 20% 3%
5 TANG Melody Fujiao - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
6 CHERNYKH Elina 1% 7% 29% 39% 21% 4%
7 PARK Zena - 2% 13% 35% 38% 13%
8 BROWN Lola 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
9 HAFEZ Tahiyah - - 5% 24% 43% 28%
10 WANG Sophia - - 5% 24% 50% 21%
11 LAI Sophia - 1% 7% 25% 43% 25%
12 WANG Reese 4% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
13 WANG Joanna - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
14 LIU Elinda 2% 14% 34% 34% 15% 2%
15 MIRZA Sophia 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% -
16 CHANG Nola 31% 43% 21% 5% - -
17 WANG DINA C. 7% 31% 42% 17% 3% -
18 CAO Kayla 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% -
19 DUAN Sophie 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
20 ALVAREZ Isabella 6% 27% 41% 22% 4% -
21 DESAI Esha 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
22 COX Sophia 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% -
22 CHOI JULIE 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
24 TAN Isabella 11% 44% 33% 10% 1% -
25 SCHULTZ Nomi 26% 43% 25% 6% - -
26 CHANG Olia 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
27 ALKADI Mai 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 4%
28 GRIMM Parker 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
29 TISON Eleanor 3% 25% 47% 22% 3% -
30 MITCHELL Macy 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.