North Texas Roundup SYC / RCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Monday, September 4, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Arlington ESports Stadium - Arlington, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	BOSITA Carson	-	-	-	2%	14%	42%	42%
2	ZHOU James Y.	-	2%	13%	35%	37%	13%
3	CLARK Gabriel	-	-	1%	10%	33%	42%	14%
3	CHON Collin	-	-	2%	13%	41%	44%
5	ZHANG Yupeng	-	-	1%	10%	38%	50%
6	ROE Finnegan	-	-	1%	5%	20%	41%	33%
7	GUREVICH Benjamin	-	6%	23%	39%	26%	6%
8	VEDRE Neil	-	10%	32%	38%	17%	2%
9	CLARK Aram	-	-	-	6%	36%	57%
10	BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R.	-	1%	7%	26%	43%	24%
11	KO Zuriel	-	-	7%	31%	48%	14%
12	GONZALEZ Jake	-	3%	15%	33%	35%	14%
13	KERCHER Alexander	-	3%	16%	32%	32%	15%	2%
14	GAY Jono	-	2%	12%	33%	40%	13%
15	KWON Kenneth	7%	30%	38%	19%	4%	-
16	BOLLU Viren	1%	25%	42%	25%	6%	-
17	LO Bradley	-	1%	6%	23%	43%	28%
18	GUREVICH Savely	1%	6%	22%	35%	28%	8%
19	HUBLALL Ethan	-	4%	17%	34%	31%	12%	2%
20	XIA Matthew	2%	14%	38%	33%	12%	2%	-
21	LIU Daniel	1%	15%	34%	32%	15%	3%	-
22	ZLATINSKI Jason	-	4%	22%	40%	28%	5%
23	KOTVALI Aneesh	2%	18%	44%	29%	6%	-
24	ZHANG Kaixuan	7%	29%	38%	21%	5%	-
25	WILKINSON James	-	1%	10%	32%	38%	16%	2%
26	KITSON Chase	1%	7%	29%	39%	21%	4%
27	SUN Bill	2%	13%	30%	33%	17%	3%
28	MCDANIEL Luke	-	6%	29%	44%	19%	2%
29	MEADE Liam R.	4%	21%	38%	28%	8%	1%
30	KANG Matthew	-	2%	14%	35%	36%	12%
30	HENDERSON Lucas	-	6%	26%	40%	24%	5%
32	ELANGO Arjun	49%	41%	9%	1%	-	-
33	LIN Lucas	10%	33%	37%	17%	3%	-
34	RAJMOHAN Arya	-	11%	35%	37%	15%	2%
34	RAMSEY Alexander	17%	45%	29%	8%	1%	-
36	SUN Andrew	-	4%	22%	39%	27%	7%	1%
37	LI AYDEN	-	2%	14%	31%	34%	17%	3%
38	SALMAN Hamzah	4%	19%	35%	29%	11%	2%
39	XUE Leo	6%	24%	36%	25%	8%	1%
40	HUANG Caleb	34%	43%	20%	4%	-	-
41	NAMBIAR Navin	16%	36%	32%	14%	3%	-
42	LIU Guanyu	29%	47%	21%	3%	-	-
43	SEETHAMRAJU Pranay	20%	40%	30%	10%	1%	-
44	WANG tiger	6%	25%	38%	25%	6%	-
45	ZHAO Royce	-	9%	28%	35%	21%	6%	1%
46	HONG Sungwon	44%	41%	13%	2%	-	-	-
47	REILLEY Brogan	35%	47%	16%	2%	-	-
48	POLISETTI Pranav	17%	50%	27%	6%	1%	-	-
48	WOLFFE Eduardo	84%	15%	1%	-	-	-	-
50	PATIL Ronit	87%	13%	1%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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