2023 Season Kick-Off

Div II Mixed Épée

Sunday, September 10, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Birmingham Fencing Club - Birmingham, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 PATEL Kushal 100% 99% 90% 56% 14%
2 ELLIOTT Wyatt 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
3 KERTESZ Stefan G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 33%
3 ALLEY Everett T 100% 100% 94% 64% 21% 2%
5 SOPER Adam 100% 99% 82% 40% 7%
6 RAY William 100% 99% 92% 61% 17%
7 RESTER Christopher 100% 86% 41% 8% 1% -
8 PARCELEWICZ John M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 26%
9 ARMISTEAD Jack Riley 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
10 LIU Oscar 100% 100% 92% 56% 16% 2%
11 BROWN Hannah 100% 100% 94% 66% 21%
12 CALINSKY Edward 100% 100% 96% 64% 19% 2%
13 WEBB Jacob T. 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 8%
14 CORDOVA Colin 100% 89% 51% 14% 1%
15 SCHUYLER Benjamin 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% 1%
16 WHALEN Garrett 100% 50% 11% 1% - -
17 ADIBZADEH Mehrdad 100% 99% 73% 27% 3%
18 BROWN Matt 100% 96% 64% 21% 2%
19 BASKIN Julia 100% 37% 6% - - -
20 MASRI Rania 100% 86% 21% 2% - -
21 ALLEY Mary Ellis 100% 53% 12% 1% -
22 BELCHER Marleigh 100% 29% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.