Motor City RYC / RJCC

Junior Women's Foil

Saturday, September 9, 2023 at 1:00 PM

UWM Sports Complex - Pontiac, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	BIODROWICZ Julia	-	-	-	4%	28%	68%
2	DAVIES Ellie	-	-	1%	13%	43%	43%
3	BASSIK Eva	-	-	3%	18%	44%	34%
3	DONG Angela	-	1%	8%	30%	43%	18%
5	WANG CAROL	-	-	5%	26%	47%	20%
6	LIU Jingyi (Eva)	-	6%	26%	42%	23%	2%
7	WONG charmaine	-	2%	13%	33%	37%	15%
8	TUCKER ALARCON Frida	-	1%	8%	30%	43%	18%
9	URDANETA LARGURA Sylvia	-	4%	16%	34%	33%	13%
10	HAN Katherine	-	4%	21%	42%	30%	4%
11	ZOLDAN Gweniveve A.	-	7%	27%	41%	22%	4%
12	YU Eliza	1%	11%	35%	39%	14%	1%
13	CAMPBELL June	1%	6%	22%	36%	27%	8%
14	COLLINS Anna	4%	29%	41%	21%	4%	-
15	SEO odelia	4%	24%	42%	25%	5%	-
16	SONG Erin	2%	13%	30%	34%	18%	4%
17	SONG Jenna	4%	21%	36%	28%	10%	1%
18	AADHI Hansika	2%	16%	37%	32%	12%	1%
19	KHAN Leena	2%	21%	42%	28%	7%	-
20	SWOPE Farren	-	5%	23%	40%	26%	6%
21	MCDANIEL Laila	30%	41%	22%	6%	1%	-
22	LEMASTERS Elise M.	2%	12%	30%	34%	18%	4%
23	MALONE Ella	6%	38%	40%	14%	2%	-
24	DESERANNO Seren	1%	17%	42%	32%	8%	1%
25	TAYLOR-OSBORN Nadia	65%	30%	5%	-	-	-
25	LATIFI Fara	53%	37%	9%	1%	-	-
27	BEYER Johanna	4%	31%	42%	20%	3%	-
28	MORSE Katherine	7%	35%	39%	16%	3%	-
29	BROWNING Ruby	71%	26%	3%	-	-	-
30	MALVESTUTO Evelyn	70%	27%	3%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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