Motor City RYC / RJCC

Cadet Women's Foil

Sunday, September 10, 2023 at 1:00 PM

UWM Sports Complex - Pontiac, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	DONG Angela	-	1%	9%	29%	41%	21%
2	DAVIES Ellie	-	-	2%	16%	43%	38%
3	BIODROWICZ Julia	-	-	-	1%	7%	34%	58%
3	WANG CAROL	-	-	1%	11%	38%	49%
5	HAN Katherine	-	2%	13%	34%	37%	14%
6	LIU Jingyi (Eva)	-	4%	19%	38%	32%	7%
7	CULLIVAN Sienna	-	-	4%	17%	37%	34%	7%
8	COLLINS Anna	-	2%	12%	33%	38%	15%
9	SONG Jenna	1%	8%	28%	38%	21%	4%
10	TAN Dorathy	2%	12%	33%	36%	15%	2%
11	URDANETA LARGURA Sylvia	-	5%	22%	38%	28%	7%
12	LICHTENSTEIGER Megan	2%	12%	32%	36%	16%	2%
13	WONG charmaine	-	2%	11%	33%	40%	15%
14	SONG Erin	5%	22%	36%	26%	9%	1%	-
15	SEO odelia	8%	30%	38%	20%	4%	-
16	WANG DINA C.	2%	14%	31%	33%	16%	3%	-
17	AADHI Hansika	-	1%	9%	28%	41%	21%
18	MALONE Ella	21%	41%	28%	9%	1%	-
19	LEVY Gabrielle	3%	19%	37%	30%	10%	1%
19	LATIFI Fara	41%	41%	15%	3%	-	-
21	DESAI Kanushi	15%	39%	33%	12%	2%	-
22	DESERANNO Seren	2%	11%	29%	34%	19%	4%	-
23	MORSE Katherine	23%	40%	27%	9%	1%	-	-
24	CAMPBELL June	2%	14%	31%	33%	16%	3%	-
25	LEMASTERS Elise M.	3%	19%	38%	29%	9%	1%
26	COHEN Ava	14%	37%	34%	13%	2%	-
27	STONE Sydney	7%	29%	40%	21%	4%	-
28	GE Lena Lan	7%	30%	38%	20%	5%	-
29	TAYLOR-OSBORN Nadia	36%	42%	18%	3%	-	-
30	HANNAH Abigail	4%	21%	39%	28%	8%	1%
30	MCDANIEL Laila	32%	44%	20%	4%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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