Foothills Fall Fight 2023

Div II Mixed Foil

Saturday, September 9, 2023 at 1:00 PM

The Simpsonville Activity Center - Piedmont, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 VIVEROS Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
2 BRUCE Roman 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
3 LAUSI Patrick M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
3 FAN Yuchen 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 45%
5 SHEHORN Connor 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
6 DAVIS Mitchell 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
7 YANG Ethan J. 100% 100% 93% 62% 22% 3%
8 CAMPBELL Justin 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
9 MCARTHUR Kemp 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% -
10 VIVEROS Oscar A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 18%
11 RILEY Owen 100% 100% 93% 61% 19% 1%
12 MATHAI Rachel 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 1%
13 BAIRD Andrew 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
14 MANN Luke 100% 96% 75% 37% 8% 1%
15 HARWOOD Gray 100% 99% 86% 41% 8% -
16 HUESKE David B. 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
17 MONES Robert (Bob) J. 100% 100% 95% 70% 27% 2%
18 MONAGHAN Claire (Micah) 100% 94% 68% 27% 4% -
19 ALTMAN Robert L. 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 6%
20 LEBEDOVYCH Tristin 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
21 COUSINS Patrick 100% 100% 88% 53% 15% 1%
22 BRUNELLI Alessandra 100% 100% 95% 75% 34% 3%
23 FLYNN Oliver 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2%
24 BRUCE Naomi 100% 90% 55% 18% 2% -
25 GREENE Max 100% 90% 45% 11% 1% -
26 ROBBINS Cooper 100% 98% 67% 24% 4% -
27 HUGHES Kayla 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
28 HUFFMAN Taeli 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
29 SHIEH Kiley 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1%
30 MARTINA-BRITO Ella 100% 92% 63% 24% 3% -
31 HAYWOOD Madison 100% 65% 20% 3% - -
32 BOTKIN Travis 100% 92% 60% 18% - -
33 CARDINAL Elise 100% 97% 68% 25% 4% -
34 PETERS Ezra 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
35 MADDEN Sidney 100% 11% - - - -
35 OWENS Landen 100% 67% 25% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.